SRG Global Ltd
ASX:SRG

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SRG Global Ltd
ASX:SRG
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Price: 2.88 AUD -2.04% Market Closed
Market Cap: AU$1.8B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one SRG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1.8 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 2.88 AUD, SRG Global Ltd is Overvalued by 37%.

SRG Intrinsic Value
1.8 AUD
Overvaluation 37%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
SRG Global Ltd

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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

SRG Global’s heavy exposure to the mining and energy sectors leaves it vulnerable to commodity price swings and reduced capital expenditure. A sustained downturn in resource investment would hamper project pipelines and erode revenue growth.

Strong competition from both local and international engineering and asset services firms could pressure SRG Global’s operating margins. Ongoing labor shortages and rising raw material costs may squeeze profitability further if the company cannot pass on cost increases to clients.

The firm’s large-scale engineering projects carry the risk of cost overruns and scheduling delays, which could damage the company’s reputation and lead to contract penalties. Such project missteps would diminish investor confidence and weigh on future tender success.

Bull Theses

SRG Global’s integrated service model, spanning engineering, construction, and asset maintenance, differentiates it from niche competitors and positions it to capture end-to-end project opportunities across diverse industries.

Growing federal and state infrastructure spending, particularly in Australia, should provide robust demand for SRG Global’s expertise in bridge strengthening, structural maintenance, and geotechnical services.

The company's expanding footprint in high-growth markets, accompanied by strategic partnerships in resources and energy, reinforces its ability to secure more long-term, high-value contracts and stabilizes cash flow generation.

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Earnings Waterfall
SRG Global Ltd

Wall St
Price Targets

SRG Price Targets Summary
SRG Global Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast SRG stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SRG is 2.82 AUD with a low forecast of 1.42 AUD and a high forecast of 3.36 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
1.42 AUD
51% Downside
Average
Price Target
2.82 AUD
2% Downside
Highest
Price Target
3.36 AUD
17% Upside
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Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

What is the Intrinsic Value of one SRG stock?

The intrinsic value of one SRG stock under the Base Case scenario is 1.8 AUD.

Is SRG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 2.88 AUD, SRG Global Ltd is Overvalued by 37%.

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