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Intrinsic Value

Is CMG undervalued or overvalued?

See the intrinsic value estimate for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc and find out whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive by its own historical standards.

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CMG Intrinsic Value
LOCKED
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Today vs. history

CMG looks undervalued.
But is it cheap by its own standards?

See how today’s valuation compares with CMG’s past valuations and how the stock performed after similar periods.

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Intrinsic Value Locked
Margin of Safety 20% Locked
Current Price Mex$548.13
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Fundamental Analysis

What Chipotle Mexican Grill Does

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Consumer Discretionary

Chipotle Mexican Grill runs a chain of fast-casual restaurants that sell made-to-order burritos, bowls, tacos, salads, quesadillas, chips, guacamole, and drinks. Customers are mostly everyday consumers looking for a quick meal they can customize from a simple menu.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
130 301
IPO date
Jan 26, 2006
Read the full company overview
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Chipotle Mexican Grill has a wide economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Customers’ willingness to pay for Chipotle’s trusted food offering helps protect its profits, while busy restaurants spread operating costs across many meals. Together, these advantages make it difficult for smaller rivals to match its combination of food quality, convenience and price profitably.

Read the full moat analysis

Latest Earnings Call

Q2 2026 · July 29, 2026

Open the earnings call
EPS
$0.33
Expected
$0.32
Surprise
+3.1%
Stock, next trading day
+11.0%
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Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Buyback Yield
LOCKED
Debt Paydown Yield
LOCKED

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

CMG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one CMG stock?

The intrinsic value for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) under the Base Case is hidden MXN.

Is CMG stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 548.13 MXN, the stock appears hidden.

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