Cogna Educacao SA
BOVESPA:COGN3
Intrinsic Value
Cogna Educação SA is a private educational organization, which engages in the provision of educational services. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
COGN3
stock under the Base Case scenario is
3.98
BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 2.17 BRL,
Cogna Educacao SA
is
Undervalued by 45%.
Cogna Educacao SA's market capitalization is 4.1B BRL.
COGN3 stock price is 2.17 BRL.
COGN3 stock price (2.17 BRL) is 45% less than its Intrinsic Value (3.98 BRL).
COGN3 stock price (2.17 BRL) is 64% less than its Relative Value (6.09 BRL). Open Relative Valuation
COGN3 has upside potential of 60% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
COGN3's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 9%.
COGN3's Revenue has been growing by 3% per year for the last 3 years.
COGN3's Revenue has grown by 16% over the past 12 months.
COGN3 has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
COGN3's short-term assets (5B BRL) exceed its short-term liabilties (4B BRL).
COGN3's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -4%.
COGN3's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -10% to 9%.
COGN3's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -37% to -4%, and is approaching profitability.
COGN3's long-term assets (25B BRL) exceed its long-term liabilties (13B BRL).
COGN3 has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 0%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
COGN3 has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
COGN3 has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (6B BRL) than cash and short-term investments (2B BRL).
COGN3 has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
COGN3's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.53.
COGN3 has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
COGN3 has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -13%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
COGN3's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.82.
COGN3 doesn't generate enough operating income (751m BRL) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (968m BRL).
Valuation Backtest
Cogna Educacao SA
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
COGN3
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Cogna Educacao SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Cogna Educacao SA
| Current Assets | 5B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.8B |
| Receivables | 2.6B |
| Other Current Assets | 581.3m |
| Non-Current Assets | 20.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 124m |
| PP&E | 3.8B |
| Intangibles | 15B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
| Current Liabilities | 3.7B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 485.9m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 9.8B |
| Long-Term Debt | 6.2B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Cogna Educacao SA
|
Revenue
|
5.8B
BRL
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.1B
BRL
|
|
Gross Profit
|
3.7B
BRL
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3B
BRL
|
|
Operating Income
|
750.8m
BRL
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-1.2B
BRL
|
|
Net Income
|
-492.9m
BRL
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Cogna Educacao SA
COGN3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Cogna Educacao SA's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Cogna Educacao SA's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
COGN3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Cogna Educacao SA's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Cogna Educacao SA's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
COGN3 Price Targets Summary
Cogna Educacao SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
COGN3
is 3.48 BRL
with a low forecast of 2.63 BRL and a high forecast of 4.73 BRL.
Shareholder Return
COGN3 Price
Cogna Educacao SA
| Average Annual Return | -24.83% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 39.09% |
| Max Drawdown | -87% |
| Market Capitalization | 4.1B BRL |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 815 759 913 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Cogna Educacao SA
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Cogna Educação SA is a private educational organization, which engages in the provision of educational services. The company is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais. The company went IPO on 2007-06-08. The firm focuses on developing primary and secondary schools, post-secondary and undergraduate programs, as well as vocational courses. The firm's activities are divided into three business segments: In-class higher education, which offers port-secondary programs on campus; Distance learning higher education (EAD), which provides port-secondary programs via online platform, and Basic education, which includes own and managed primary schools, collection and development of teaching materials, school management advisory, as well as educational support tools, among others. The firm operates a number of brand names, such as Anhanguera, Fama, Pitagoras, Unic, Unime and Unopar. In addition, it is involved in the wholesale, retail, distribution, import and export of textbooks, course books, magazines and other publications related to education.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
COGN3
stock under the Base Case scenario is
3.98
BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 2.17 BRL,
Cogna Educacao SA
is
Undervalued by 45%.
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