Ultrapar Participacoes SA
BOVESPA:UGPA3
Intrinsic Value
Ultrapar Participaçoes SA engages in the distribution and retail services including, fuel, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), retail pharmacy, specialty chemicals and liquid bulk storage businesses. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
UGPA3
stock under the Base Case scenario is
34.46
BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 24.48 BRL,
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
is
Undervalued by 29%.
UGPA3 could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's market capitalization is 26.7B BRL.
UGPA3 stock price is 24.48 BRL.
UGPA3 stock price (24.48 BRL) is 29% less than its Intrinsic Value (34.46 BRL).
UGPA3 stock price (24.48 BRL) is 50% less than its Relative Value (48.93 BRL). Open Relative Valuation
UGPA3 has upside potential of 20% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
UGPA3 has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
UGPA3's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
UGPA3's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 4% per year over the next 3 years.
UGPA3 has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 8%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
UGPA3 has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 14%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
UGPA3's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 20%.
UGPA3's Revenue has dropped by 12% over the past 12 months.
UGPA3's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 4% to 13%.
UGPA3 has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
UGPA3's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from 9% to 20%.
UGPA3 has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
UGPA3 has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
UGPA3's long-term assets (37B BRL) exceed its long-term liabilties (23B BRL).
UGPA3 has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (10B BRL) than cash and short-term investments (4B BRL).
UGPA3's short-term assets (17B BRL) exceed its short-term liabilties (10B BRL).
UGPA3's Revenue has been growing by 19% per year for the last 3 years.
UGPA3's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.75.
UGPA3 generates enough operating income (5B BRL) to cover interest payments on its debt (2B BRL).
UGPA3's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 5.06.
Valuation Backtest
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
UGPA3
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
| Current Assets | 16.6B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.1B |
| Receivables | 8B |
| Other Current Assets | 4.6B |
| Non-Current Assets | 20B |
| Long-Term Investments | 2.9B |
| PP&E | 8.2B |
| Intangibles | 1.9B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 7.1B |
| Current Liabilities | 9.9B |
| Accounts Payable | 4.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 536.8m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 5B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 12.9B |
| Long-Term Debt | 10.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
|
Revenue
|
125.9B
BRL
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-116.2B
BRL
|
|
Gross Profit
|
9.7B
BRL
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-4.9B
BRL
|
|
Operating Income
|
4.7B
BRL
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-2.1B
BRL
|
|
Net Income
|
2.6B
BRL
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
UGPA3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
UGPA3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ultrapar Participacoes SA's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
UGPA3 Price Targets Summary
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
UGPA3
is 29.29 BRL
with a low forecast of 19.7 BRL and a high forecast of 38.85 BRL.
Shareholder Return
UGPA3 Price
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
| Average Annual Return | -6.76% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 28.52% |
| Max Drawdown | -61% |
| Market Capitalization | 26.7B BRL |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 089 699 968 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ultrapar Participaçoes SA engages in the distribution and retail services including, fuel, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), retail pharmacy, specialty chemicals and liquid bulk storage businesses. The company is headquartered in Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo and currently employs 16,442 full-time employees. The firm operates in five segments: Gas distribution (Ultragaz), which distributes liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to residential, commercial and industrial consumers in the South, Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil; Fuel distribution (Ipiranga), which operates the distribution and marketing of gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles and lubricants, as well as provides related activities across the Brazilian territory; Chemicals (Oxiteno), which produces ethylene oxide, as well as its primary derivatives and fatty alcohols; Storage (Ultracargo), which operates liquid bulk terminals, primarily in the Southeast and Northeast regions of Brazil, and Drugstores (Extrafarma), which trades pharmaceutical, hygiene and beauty products through its drugstore chain in the states of Para and Piaui, among others.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
UGPA3
stock under the Base Case scenario is
34.46
BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 24.48 BRL,
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
is
Undervalued by 29%.
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