N9Z1 Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - AGL Energy Ltd - Alpha Spread

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Price: 4.871 EUR -3.01%

Market Cap: €3.3B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for AGL Energy Ltd (N9Z1) under the Base Case is 10.473 EUR. Compared with the current market price of 4.871 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 53% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

Both DCF and multiples point to undervaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

N9Z1 Intrinsic Value

Undervaluation 53%

Intrinsic Value

Price €4.871

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Base Case

Bull Case

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20% below Intrinsic Value €8.38

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Intrinsic Value €10.47

Margin of Safety 20% €8.38

Current Price €4.87

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History Conclusion

Current Valuation

Average Value Growth

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Fundamental Analysis

Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Dec 2016 Jun 2017 Dec 2017 Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Jun 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Dec 2021 Jun 2022 Dec 2022 Jun 2023 Dec 2023 Jun 2024 Dec 2024 Jun 2025 Dec 2025

Wall St Price Targets

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for AGL Energy Ltd (N9Z1) under the Base Case is 10.473 EUR.

Compared with the current market price of 4.871 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 53% .

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