AGL Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - AGL Energy Ltd - Alpha Spread

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Price: 8.205 AUD 0.92% Market Closed

Market Cap: AU$5.5B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for AGL Energy Ltd (AGL) under the Base Case is 15.462 AUD. Compared with the current market price of 8.205 AUD, the stock appears Undervalued by 47% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

Both DCF and multiples point to undervaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

AGL Intrinsic Value

Undervaluation 47%

Intrinsic Value

Price AU$8.205

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Base Case

Bull Case

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20% below Intrinsic Value AU$12.37

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Intrinsic Value AU$15.46

Margin of Safety 20% AU$12.37

Current Price AU$8.21

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History Conclusion

Current Valuation

Average Value Growth

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Let our AI break down the key assumptions behind the intrinsic value calculation for AGL Energy Ltd.

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Fundamental Analysis

Dec 2015 Jun 2016 Dec 2016 Jun 2017 Dec 2017 Jun 2018 Dec 2018 Jun 2019 Dec 2019 Jun 2020 Dec 2020 Jun 2021 Dec 2021 Jun 2022 Dec 2022 Jun 2023 Dec 2023 Jun 2024 Dec 2024 Jun 2025 Dec 2025

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for AGL Energy Ltd (AGL) under the Base Case is 15.462 AUD.

Compared with the current market price of 8.205 AUD, the stock appears Undervalued by 47% .

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