Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of Origin Energy Ltd (ORL0) under the Base Case is 7.99 EUR per share. Compared with the current market price of 7.3 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 9% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using valuation multiples.

Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .

ORL0 Intrinsic Value
€7.99
Undervaluation 9%
Intrinsic Value
Price €7.3

ORL0 is more expensive than usual. Still undervalued, but the discount was larger on more than 99% of days in the past 5 years.

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Intrinsic Value €7.99
Current Price €7.3
Margin of Safety 20% €6.39
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Fundamental Analysis

What Origin Energy Does

Utilities

Origin Energy is an Australian energy company that sells electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses. It also supplies energy services such as solar, batteries, and related products, and it has interests in gas production and electricity generation that help support those sales. In simple terms, it sits between energy producers and end users, helping source and deliver power and gas to customers.

Headquarters
Australia AU
Employees
5 000
IPO date
Jul 13, 1961
Read the full company overview
View Company Overview

Origin Energy has no economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Customers can compare energy plans and switch retailers while staying on the same local power and gas networks, so Origin must compete for accounts against AGL, EnergyAustralia and smaller retailers. Its size and familiar name do not by themselves stop rivals from offering similar energy or winning customers.

Read the full moat analysis
Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Origin Energy Ltd

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

What is the Intrinsic Value of one ORL0 stock?

The intrinsic value for Origin Energy Ltd (ORL0) under the Base Case is 7.99 EUR.

Is ORL0 stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 7.3 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 9% .

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