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K

K H Group Holdings Ltd (HKEX:1557)

0.375 HKD -0.005 HKD ( -1.32% )
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K H Group Holdings Ltd
HKEX:1557
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Oct 5, 2022.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1557 stock is 0.238 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 0.375 HKD, the stock is Overvalued by 37%.

DCF Value
Base Case
0.238 HKD
Overvaluation 37%
DCF Value
Price
K
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
0.238
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 0.238 HKD
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Present Value Calculation

The first step in the DCF calculation process is to estimate the company's future free cash flow. Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate. The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow. You can change any model inputs below.

Available Valuation Models
1 valuation model available
Alpha Spread
Updated on Oct 5, 2022
Default Valuation
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Model Settings
Operating Model
Equity Model: via Net Income
Discount Rate
7.62%
Forecast Period
5 Years
Terminal Growth
0%
Discount Rate
7.62%
Terminal Growth
0%
Growth Period
5 Years
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DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

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To view the process of deriving the DCF Value of one share from the estimated Present Value, see the DCF Value Calculation block.

DCF Value Calculation

Depending on which type of operating model is chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added.

Capital Structure
From Present Value to DCF Value

Present Value 95.1M HKD
Equity Value 95.1M HKD
/ Shares Outstanding 400M
1557 DCF Value 0.238 HKD
Overvalued by 37%

To view the process of calculating the Present Value of K H Group Holdings Ltd' future free cash flow, see the Present Value Calculation block.

Valuation Analysis

After the valuation process, in order to gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between risk and opportunity, it is useful to study the dynamic of company's valuation under various inputs to the DCF model in use.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
694M 1.7B
Net Income
-15.9M 14.6M
FCFE
-15.9M 14.6M

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

See Also

Similar Stocks
What is the DCF value of one 1557 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1557 stock is 0.238 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 0.375 HKD, the stock is Overvalued by 37%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Using the DCF Operating Model we project K H Group Holdings Ltd's future free cash flow and discount it at a selected discount rate to calculate its Present Value (95.1M HKD).

2. DCF Value Calculation. We use the company's capital structure to calculate the total Equity Value based on the previously computed Present Value of the free cash flow. Dividing the Equity Value by the number of shares outstanding gives us the DCF Value of 0.238 HKD per one 1557 share.