Swire Pacific Ltd
HKEX:19
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Swire Pacific Ltd (19) under the Base Case is 114.23 HKD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 112.2 HKD, the stock appears
Undervalued by 2% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes revenue grows about 6% a year over the next five years, about twice its five-year pace of 3%. If revenue grew at its five-year pace of 3%, the estimate would be about HK$98.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Swire Pacific Does
Swire Pacific is a Hong Kong-based holding company that owns businesses in property, beverages, and a few related industrial and service interests. Its best-known asset is a property arm with offices, retail space, hotels, and homes in major Asian cities. It also owns a soft-drink bottling business that makes, packages, and distributes Coca-Cola products under licence.
- Headquarters
- Hong Kong HK
- Employees
- 92 000
- IPO date
- May 1, 1973
Swire Pacific has no economic moat
Customers choose Swire’s businesses separately, so renting its property does not make its drinks or flights more useful to them. The Swire name does not give the whole portfolio one shared reason for customers to stay or pay more.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
Swire Pacific Ltd
What is the Intrinsic Value of one Swire Pacific Ltd stock?
The intrinsic value for Swire Pacific Ltd (19) under the Base Case is 114.23 HKD.
Is Swire Pacific Ltd stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 112.2 HKD, the stock appears Undervalued by 2% .
