Country Garden Services Holdings Co Ltd
HKEX:6098

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Country Garden Services Holdings Co Ltd
HKEX:6098
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Price: 6.46 HKD -1.07% Market Closed
Market Cap: 21.6B HKD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 10, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one 6098 stock is 16 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 6.46 HKD, the stock is Undervalued by 60%.

DCF Value
Base Case
16 HKD
Undervaluation 60%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 16 HKD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 3.7B CNY. The present value of the terminal value is 29.4B CNY. The total present value equals 33B CNY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 33B CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 15.3B CNY
+ Investments 5.2B CNY
Firm Value 53.5B CNY
- Debt 2.2B CNY
- Minority Interest 2.5B CNY
Equity Value 48.8B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 3.3B
Value per Share 14.61 CNY
CNY / HKD Exchange Rate 1.0956
6098 DCF Value 16 HKD
Undervalued by 60%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
46.9B 55.3B
Operating Income
3.8B 5.4B
FCFF
-103.1m 2.7B

What is the DCF value of one 6098 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 6098 stock is 16 HKD. Compared to the current market price of 6.46 HKD, the stock is Undervalued by 60%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Country Garden Services Holdings Co Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 33B CNY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 16 HKD per share.

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