Ferguson Enterprises Inc
LSE:FERG

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Ferguson Enterprises Inc Logo
Ferguson Enterprises Inc
LSE:FERG
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Price: 13 460 GBX 2.67% Market Closed
Market Cap: 26.9B GBX

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 28, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one FERG stock is 36 597.54 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 13 460 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 63%.

FERG DCF Value
Base Case
36 597.54 GBX
Undervaluation 63%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 36 597.54 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 19.1B USD. The present value of the terminal value is 83B USD. The total present value equals 102.1B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 102.1B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 764m USD
Firm Value 102.9B USD
- Debt 3.9B USD
Equity Value 98.9B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 200m
Value per Share 494.7 USD
USD / GBX Exchange Rate 73.98
FERG DCF Value 36 597.54 GBX
Undervalued by 63%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
54.8B 142B
Operating Income
4.6B 13.1B
FCFF
4.4B 9B

What is the DCF value of one FERG stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one FERG stock is 36 597.54 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 13 460 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 63%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Ferguson Enterprises Inc's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 102.1B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 36 597.54 GBX per share.

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