Ferguson PLC
LSE:FERG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FERG stock under the Base Case scenario is 14 612.41 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 15 190 GBX, Ferguson PLC is Overvalued by 4%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Ferguson PLC
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Fundamental Analysis
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Ferguson PLC, a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products in North America and the UK, is a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the essential services sector. Founded in 1880, the company has evolved into a powerhouse in the building materials space, driven by its commitment to customer service and a robust supply chain. With over 1,200 locations and a diverse portfolio that includes specialty products and a wide range of building materials, Ferguson has positioned itself as a key player in the construction and renovation markets. Its strategic focus on the residential and commercial sectors, alongside significant investments in technology to enhan...
Ferguson PLC, a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products in North America and the UK, is a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the essential services sector. Founded in 1880, the company has evolved into a powerhouse in the building materials space, driven by its commitment to customer service and a robust supply chain. With over 1,200 locations and a diverse portfolio that includes specialty products and a wide range of building materials, Ferguson has positioned itself as a key player in the construction and renovation markets. Its strategic focus on the residential and commercial sectors, alongside significant investments in technology to enhance online service capabilities, has allowed the company to thrive even amidst economic fluctuations.
As the world moves towards sustainable building practices and rising demand for home improvement, Ferguson stands at the forefront of this transformation. The firm has experienced consistent revenue growth, buoyed by favorable housing market trends and a growing focus on energy-efficient and technologically advanced products. Its strong balance sheet and solid cash flow generation provide a solid foundation for future growth, empowering Ferguson to seize opportunities for acquisitions and expansions. For investors looking for a mature company with a proven track record and a keen eye toward innovation in the essential services sector, Ferguson PLC offers a promising proposition that intertwines tradition with modern market demands.
Ferguson PLC is a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products in the USA and the UK, with a variety of core business segments that contribute significantly to its operations and revenue. The main segments include:
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Plumbing and Heating: Ferguson specializes in the distribution of plumbing and heating supplies including pipes, valves, fittings, and HVAC systems. This segment serves both residential and commercial customers, providing essential products for new construction, renovation, and maintenance projects.
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Building Materials: This segment includes a wide range of construction materials such as drywall, insulation, and lumber. Ferguson's building materials division caters to contractors and construction-related businesses, providing them with the necessary supplies for their projects.
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Waterworks: Ferguson also operates in the waterworks segment, supplying products and services related to water supply and distribution. This includes pipes, fittings, and other infrastructure components used in public utility projects.
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Specialty Products: This segment encompasses a variety of specialized products such as industrial plumbing, fire protection, and other niche markets that require specific expertise and products.
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E-commerce and Digital Solutions: With the rise of online purchasing in the industry, Ferguson has developed its e-commerce platform to enhance customer access to products and services, streamline ordering processes, and improve overall customer experience.
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Facilities Supply: Ferguson provides maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services to various industries, catering to clients' ongoing operational needs.
These segments allow Ferguson PLC to cater to diverse markets, including residential construction, commercial projects, industrial applications, and municipal infrastructure, positioning the company as a comprehensive supplier in the plumbing and building industries. Additionally, Ferguson's strategic focus on customer service and digital transformation enhances its competitive advantage in the marketplace.
Ferguson PLC, a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. These advantages include:
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Strong Market Position: Ferguson has a well-established brand and a significant market share in the plumbing and heating distribution sector. This recognition helps in attracting customers and retaining loyalty.
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Extensive Distribution Network: The company operates a vast network of branches and warehouses, which enables it to provide timely delivery and efficient service. This expansive reach helps Ferguson to serve customers effectively, especially in urgent situations.
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Diverse Product Range: Ferguson offers a wide variety of products, including plumbing, HVAC, and building materials. This diversity allows them to cater to various customer needs, making them a one-stop shop for contractors and builders.
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Scale Economies: Being a large entity, Ferguson benefits from economies of scale, which can lead to lower operational costs and improved pricing flexibility compared to smaller competitors.
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Technological Investments: Ferguson invests in technology to streamline operations, improve customer experience, and enhance supply chain efficiency. Their use of digital platforms allows for easier ordering and inventory management, giving them an edge.
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Expertise and Knowledge: Ferguson’s staff typically possess significant industry knowledge and expertise. This insight allows them to offer valuable advice and customized solutions to clients, strengthening customer relationships.
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Customer-Centric Approach: The company focuses on building long-term relationships with customers. Their ability to understand and meet client needs enhances customer loyalty and repeat business.
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Strategic Acquisitions: Ferguson has a history of successful acquisitions, which allows them to expand their product offerings and geographical presence, further solidifying their market position.
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Supply Chain Relationships: Established relationships with suppliers can provide better sourcing opportunities, ensuring competitive pricing and reliable product availability.
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Commitment to Sustainability: As the industry increasingly moves toward sustainability, Ferguson's proactive approach to eco-friendly solutions and products could serve as a significant competitive advantage, attracting environmentally-conscious customers.
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Financial Strength: A solid balance sheet provides Ferguson with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities such as technology upgrades, expansion initiatives, or acquisitions.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Ferguson PLC can maintain and potentially expand its market position relative to its rivals in the plumbing and heating distribution sector.
Ferguson PLC, as a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the economy can significantly impact demand for construction and renovation materials. A slowdown in economic growth, or a recession, could lead to decreased spending in these sectors.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, can lead to delays, increased costs, and product shortages. This could affect Ferguson's ability to meet customer demand.
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Inflationary Pressures: Rising costs of raw materials and transportation can impact profit margins. As suppliers increase their prices to cope with inflation, Ferguson may need to balance passing these costs onto customers without losing competitiveness.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasingly stringent environmental regulations may require Ferguson to adapt its product offerings and operations to meet sustainability standards. This can entail additional costs and operational adjustments.
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Competition: The building and construction materials industry is competitive. Ferguson faces competition from both established players and new entrants who may offer lower prices or innovative products.
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Technological Disruption: The rapid pace of technological change in the industry may require Ferguson to invest in new technologies and platforms. Failure to adapt could result in lost market share.
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Labor Shortages: The construction industry is currently facing skilled labor shortages, which may limit growth and affect project timelines. Ferguson could see reduced demand if construction firms cannot find workers.
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Geopolitical Risks: The potential for changing trade policies, tariffs, and international relations can impact logistics and costs. Any disruptions in key markets can affect Ferguson’s operations, especially if they source products internationally.
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Customer Behavior Shifts: Changes in customer preferences towards online purchasing and digital services can challenge traditional distribution models. Ferguson may need to enhance its digital presence to remain competitive.
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Financial Management: Effective cash flow management will be crucial, especially in times of economic uncertainty. Ferguson must monitor its receivables and payables closely to ensure liquidity.
Addressing these risks requires strategic planning, diversification, and a proactive approach to market changes. Ferguson PLC will need to leverage its strengths, such as market position and customer relationships, to navigate these challenges successfully.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ferguson PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ferguson PLC
Current Assets | 9.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 571m |
Receivables | 3.6B |
Other Current Assets | 5.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 7.2B |
PP&E | 3.3B |
Intangibles | 2.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.5B |
Current Liabilities | 5.2B |
Accounts Payable | 3.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ferguson PLC
Revenue
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29.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-20.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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9.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-6.4B
USD
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Operating Income
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2.7B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-917m
USD
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Net Income
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1.7B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ferguson PLC
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q4, Ferguson achieved sales of $7.9 billion, marking a 1.4% increase despite a 2% deflation, with adjusted operating profit rising by 5.3% to $857 million. For the full year, sales were steady at $29.6 billion with a slight margin improvement to 30.5%. Despite market headwinds, Ferguson saw a return to volume growth and robust cash flow generation of $1.9 billion. The firm projects revenue growth in the low single digits for FY 2025, with an adjusted operating margin between 9.0% and 9.5%. Investments in CapEx and strategic acquisitions continue to support growth and market consolidation .
What is Earnings Call?
FERG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ferguson PLC's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ferguson PLC's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FERG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ferguson PLC's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ferguson PLC's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FERG Price Targets Summary
Ferguson PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FERG is 16 944.57 GBX with a low forecast of 11 914.21 GBX and a high forecast of 20 220.05 GBX.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FERG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
FERG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ferguson Plc engages in the supply of plumbing and heating products to professional contractors and consumers, repair, maintenance and improvement and new construction markets through its subsidiaries. The company is headquartered in Wokingham, Berkshire and currently employs 31,924 full-time employees. The firm's segments include USA and Canada. The company serves the repair, maintenance and improvement (RMI) markets, and construction market. The firm's USA business units include Residential Showrooms, eBusiness, Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC), Fire and Fabrication, Waterworks and Industrial. The Canada segment operates as a wholesale distributor of plumbing, heating, ventilation and air conditioning, refrigeration, waterworks, fire protection, pipes, valves and fittings and industrial products.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one FERG stock under the Base Case scenario is 14 612.41 GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 15 190 GBX, Ferguson PLC is Overvalued by 4%.