Johnson Service Group PLC
LSE:JSG

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Johnson Service Group PLC Logo
Johnson Service Group PLC
LSE:JSG
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Price: 151.6 GBX 2.71% Market Closed
Market Cap: 621m GBX

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 10, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one JSG stock is 190.58 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 151.6 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 20%.

JSG DCF Value
Base Case
190.58 GBX
Undervaluation 20%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 190.58 GBX

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 217.3m GBP. The present value of the terminal value is 563.4m GBP. The total present value equals 780.7m GBP.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 780.7m GBP
Equity Value 780.7m GBP
/ Shares Outstanding 409.7m
Value per Share 1.91 GBP
GBP / GBX Exchange Rate 100
JSG DCF Value 190.58 GBX
Undervalued by 20%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
780.7m GBX
/
Number of Shares
409.7m
=
DCF Value
190.58 GBX

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
563.2m 666.3m
Net Income
50.8m 69.1m
FCFE
43.9m 62.2m

What is the DCF value of one JSG stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one JSG stock is 190.58 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 151.6 GBX, the stock is Undervalued by 20%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Johnson Service Group PLC's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 780.7m GBP.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 190.58 GBX per share.

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