National Express Group PLC
LSE:NEX
Intrinsic Value
National Express Group Plc engages in the public transport operation with bus, coach and rail services in the UK, Continental Europe, North Africa, North America, and the Middle East. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
NEX
stock under the Base Case scenario is
337.24
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 108.3 GBX,
National Express Group PLC
is
Undervalued by 68%.
NEX could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
National Express Group PLC's market capitalization is 665.1m GBX.
NEX stock price is 108.3 GBX.
NEX stock price (108.3 GBX) is 68% less than its Intrinsic Value (337.24 GBX).
NEX stock price (108.3 GBX) is 65% less than its Relative Value (312.75 GBX). Open Relative Valuation
NEX.
NEX's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 16%.
NEX's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 8% per year over the next 3 years.
NEX's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 29% over the past 12 months.
NEX has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
NEX's long-term assets (4B GBP) exceed its long-term liabilties (3B GBP).
NEX has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 5%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
NEX has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (854m GBP) than cash and short-term investments (357m GBP).
NEX has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
NEX generates enough operating income (463m GBP) to cover interest payments on its debt (49m GBP).
NEX's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.66.
NEX's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -16%.
NEX has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
NEX has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
NEX's short-term liabilties (2B GBP) exceed its short-term assets (1B GBP).
NEX has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -5%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
NEX's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 1.2.
Valuation Backtest
National Express Group PLC
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
NEX
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
National Express Group PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
National Express Group PLC
| Current Assets | 929.2m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 291.8m |
| Receivables | 567.3m |
| Other Current Assets | 70.1m |
| Non-Current Assets | 3.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 13.9m |
| PP&E | 1.2B |
| Intangibles | 1.6B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 414.6m |
| Current Liabilities | 1.6B |
| Accounts Payable | 874.5m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 723.7m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
| Long-Term Debt | 886.3m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 321.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
National Express Group PLC
|
Revenue
|
2.8B
GBP
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.3B
GBP
|
|
Gross Profit
|
461m
GBP
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
2.1m
GBP
|
|
Operating Income
|
463.1m
GBP
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-684.9m
GBP
|
|
Net Income
|
-221.8m
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
National Express Group PLC
What is Free Cash Flow?
NEX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
National Express Group PLC's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
National Express Group PLC's profitability score is 37/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NEX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
National Express Group PLC's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
National Express Group PLC's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NEX Price Targets Summary
National Express Group PLC
Shareholder Return
NEX Price
National Express Group PLC
| Average Annual Return | -4.48% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 38.92% |
| Max Drawdown | -81% |
| Market Capitalization | 665.1m GBX |
| Shares Outstanding | 612 681 249 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 220% |
Company Profile
National Express Group PLC
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
National Express Group Plc engages in the public transport operation with bus, coach and rail services in the UK, Continental Europe, North Africa, North America, and the Middle East. The company is headquartered in Birmingham, Warwickshire and currently employs 44,500 full-time employees. The firm is a transport provider delivering services in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North Africa, North America and the Middle East. The firm owns and leases buses, coaches and trains, which is used to deliver local, regional, national and international transportation services. The firm's segment includes UK, German Rail, ALSA (predominantly Spain and Morocco) and North America (USA and Canada). The UK segment offers bus and coach services. The German Rail segment operates two train services in Germany. ALSA (predominantly Spain and Morocco) segment offers bus and coach services. The North America (USA and Canada) segment offers school bus, transit bus and shuttle services. The firm operates transportation services in approximately eight countries, which includes United Kingdom, United States of America, Canada, Spain, Morocco, Switzerland, Germany and Bahrain.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
NEX
stock under the Base Case scenario is
337.24
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 108.3 GBX,
National Express Group PLC
is
Undervalued by 68%.
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