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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:AVAH

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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:AVAH
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Price: 2.49 USD 1.63% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one AVAH stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.87 USD. Compared to the current market price of 2.49 USD, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc is Undervalued by 77%.

Key Points:
AVAH Intrinsic Value
Base Case
10.87 USD
Undervaluation 77%
Intrinsic Value
Price
A
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Aveanna Q4 Results and Optimistic 2024 Outlook
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Aveanna Q4 Results and Optimistic 2024 Outlook

In the fourth quarter, Aveanna Healthcare's revenue rose 6.1% year-over-year to $479 million, with significant growth in the Private Duty Services and Medical Solutions segments. The company's adjusted EBITDA surged 30.4% to $38.7 million, aided by improved pricing and cost-saving measures. Despite a caregiver shortage constraining growth and wage pressures, margins improved, credit remains strong, and substantial debt is hedged against interest rate fluctuations. Looking ahead to 2024, revenue is projected between $1.96 billion to $1.98 billion with an adjusted EBITDA of $146 million to $150 million, representing a continued emphasis on cost management and operational efficiency.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Current Assets 314.9m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 43.9m
Receivables 245.8m
Other Current Assets 25.1m
Non-Current Assets 1.3B
PP&E 70m
Intangibles 1.1B
Other Non-Current Assets 79.5m
Current Liabilities 354.8m
Accounts Payable 30.1m
Accrued Liabilities 93.3m
Short-Term Debt 4m
Other Current Liabilities 227.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.4B
Long-Term Debt 1.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 109.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Revenue
1.9B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.3B USD
Gross Profit
595.4m USD
Operating Expenses
-481.8m USD
Operating Income
113.7m USD
Other Expenses
-248.2m USD
Net Income
-134.5m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Table
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Fundamental Scores

AVAH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
Positive ROIC
36/100
Profitability
Score

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AVAH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
29/100
Solvency
Score

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AVAH Price Targets Summary
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast AVAH stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AVAH is 2.34 USD with a low forecast of 1.52 USD and a high forecast of 3.15 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
1.52 USD
39% Downside
Average
Price Target
2.34 USD
6% Downside
Highest
Price Target
3.15 USD
27% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

AVAH Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

AVAH Price
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

1M 1M
+5%
6M 6M
+109%
1Y 1Y
+133%
3Y 3Y
-79%
5Y 5Y
-79%
10Y 10Y
-79%
Annual Price Range
2.49
52w Low
0.98
52w High
2.99
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -64.16%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 37.23%
Max Drawdown -95%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 474.9m USD
Shares Outstanding 190 732 992
Percentage of Shares Shorted 2.58%

AVAH Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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Company Profile

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Health Care

Market Cap

474.9m USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 33,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-04-29. The Company’s operating segments includes Private Duty Services (PDS), Medical Solutions (MS) and Home Health & Hospice (HHH). The firm provides a range of pediatric and adult healthcare services, including nursing, rehabilitation services, occupational nursing in schools, therapy services, day treatment centers for medically ill children and adults, home health and hospice services, as well as delivery of enteral nutrition and other products to patients. The company also provides case management services in order to assist the family and patient by coordinating the provision of services between the insurer or other payer, the physician, the hospital, and other healthcare providers. In addition, the Company provides respite healthcare services, which are temporary care provider services provided in relief of the patient’s normal caregiver. Its services are designed to provide an alternative to prolonged hospitalization.

Contact

GEORGIA
Atlanta
400 Interstate North Parkway, Ste 1700
+17704411580.0

IPO

2021-04-29

Employees

33 000

Officers

Executive Chairman
Mr. Rodney D. Windley
CEO & Director
Mr. Jeffrey S. Shaner
Chief Legal Officer & Secretary
Mr. Shannon L. Drake
CFO & Principal Financial Officer
Mr. Matthew Buckhalter
Senior VP & Principal Accounting Officer
Ms. Debbie Stewart
Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Ed Reisz
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Chief Compliance Officer
Mr. Patrick A. Cunningham
President of Medical Solutions
Ms. Korey Hinz
President of Private Duty Nursing
Ms. Kristy Rohwedder
President of Home Health & Hospice
Mr. Shane Brinkerhoff
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AVAH stock?

The intrinsic value of one AVAH stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.87 USD.

Is AVAH stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 2.49 USD, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc is Undervalued by 77%.