Cumulus Media Inc
NASDAQ:CMLS
Intrinsic Value
Cumulus Media, Inc. engages in the business of radio broadcasting. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CMLS
stock under the Base Case scenario is
48.19
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 2.79 USD,
Cumulus Media Inc
is
Undervalued by 94%.
CMLS could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Cumulus Media Inc's market capitalization is 46.2m USD.
CMLS stock price is 2.79 USD.
CMLS stock price (2.79 USD) is 94% less than its Intrinsic Value (48.19 USD).
CMLS stock price (2.79 USD) is 94% less than its Relative Value (45.62 USD). Open Relative Valuation
CMLS has upside potential of 302% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
CMLS's Revenue has been growing by 1% per year for the last 3 years.
CMLS's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 4% per year over the next 3 years.
CMLS's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from -1% to 2%.
CMLS has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CMLS's long-term assets (1B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (1B USD).
CMLS has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CMLS's Revenue has dropped by 11% over the past 12 months.
CMLS's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 2%.
CMLS's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -18% to -34%, and is approaching profitability.
CMLS has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 3%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CMLS has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
CMLS's short-term assets (287m USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (144m USD).
CMLS's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -34%.
CMLS's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 2.35.
CMLS has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -4%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CMLS has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CMLS has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (672m USD) than cash and short-term investments (81m USD).
CMLS's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.72.
CMLS doesn't generate enough operating income (26m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (63m USD).
Fundamental Analysis
Cumulus Media Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Cumulus Media Inc
| Current Assets | 286.9m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 80.7m |
| Receivables | 182.2m |
| Other Current Assets | 24m |
| Non-Current Assets | 1.2B |
| PP&E | 299.2m |
| Intangibles | 837.6m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 16.5m |
| Current Liabilities | 143.7m |
| Accounts Payable | 116.2m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 27.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1B |
| Long-Term Debt | 672.4m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 337.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Cumulus Media Inc
|
Revenue
|
844.5m
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-331.4m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
513.2m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-487.5m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
25.7m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-143.5m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-117.9m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Cumulus Media Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
CMLS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Cumulus Media Inc's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Cumulus Media Inc's profitability score is 42/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CMLS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Cumulus Media Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Cumulus Media Inc's solvency score is 26/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CMLS Price Targets Summary
Cumulus Media Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CMLS
is 11.22 USD
with a low forecast of 11.11 USD and a high forecast of 11.55 USD.
Ownership
CMLS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
CMLS Price
Cumulus Media Inc
| Average Annual Return | -17.24% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 33.46% |
| Max Drawdown | -86% |
| Market Capitalization | 46.2m USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 16 670 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.12% |
Company Profile
Cumulus Media Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Cumulus Media, Inc. engages in the business of radio broadcasting. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 2,588 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-06-04. The firm engages its listeners with local programming through approximately 412 owned and operated stations across 86 markets, delivering nationally syndicated sports, news, talk, and entertainment programming from various brands, including the NFL, the NCAA, the Masters, CNN, the AP, the Academy of Country Music Awards, and other partners across nearly 7,300 affiliated stations through Westwood One, which is an audio network in America. The firm provides advertisers with personal connections, local impact and national reach through broadcast and on-demand digital, mobile, social, and voice-activated platforms, as well as integrated digital marketing services, influencers, service audio solutions, industry-leading research and insights, and live event experiences.
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