Nexstar Media Group Inc
NASDAQ:NXST
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Nexstar Media Group Inc
NASDAQ:NXST
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST) under the Base Case is 94.31 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 170.92 USD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 45% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model mostly extends the recent record: revenue grows about 3% a year over the next five years, against 2% over the last five, and operating margin stays near last year's 17%. If revenue grew at its five-year pace of 2%, the estimate would be about $46.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Nexstar Media Group Does
Nexstar Media Group owns and runs a large group of local television stations in the United States, along with related digital news sites and a few national TV assets. It sells local news, weather, sports, and entertainment programming to viewers, and it also makes and distributes some national content, including programs tied to its network holdings. Its business sits at the center of local TV: it gathers audiences, packages them for advertisers, and delivers the signals that cable and satellite systems carry.
- Headquarters
- United States of America US
- Employees
- 11 693
- IPO date
- Nov 24, 2003
Nexstar Media Group has no economic moat
Viewers and advertisers can move between Nexstar, rival station groups such as Sinclair and Gray, and online video services without being tied to Nexstar. Its familiar station and network names do not make customers dependent on it or clearly let it charge more for comparable programming or advertising reach.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Nexstar Media Group Inc
Earnings Waterfall
Nexstar Media Group Inc
The intrinsic value for Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST) under the Base Case is 94.31 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 170.92 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 45% .