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Peloton Interactive Inc
NASDAQ:PTON

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Peloton Interactive Inc Logo
Peloton Interactive Inc
NASDAQ:PTON
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Price: 4.645 USD 2.77%
Updated: Mar 1, 2024

Intrinsic Value

PTON's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one PTON stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.549 USD. Compared to the current market price of 4.645 USD, Peloton Interactive Inc is Undervalued by 66%.

Key Points:
PTON Intrinsic Value
Base Case
13.549 USD
Undervaluation 66%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

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Peloton Interactive Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Positive Subscriptions and Marketing Efficiency
2024-Q2 Earnings Call

Positive Subscriptions and Marketing Efficiency

The past quarter showed quicker-than-expected subscription activations that contributed to subscriber growth, thanks to lesser new subscription pauses and more reactivations. The company's secondary market also exceeded expectations, aiding in subscriber retention and resulting in better-than-anticipated churn rates for Q2. There was an uptick in media spend to drive demand, which is expected to be seasonally lower in the second half of the year. The company aims to enhance media efficiency and improve Lifetime Value to Customer Acquisition Cost (LTV to CAC), moving it towards a 2x to 3x range from just above 1 in Q2. Connected Fitness gross margins showed improvement, with further sequential growth anticipated, particularly from new Tread+ deliveries. Structural business changes are underway to increase operating leverage, while a new marketing relationship with TikTok is in its early stages, showing promising engagement but with uncertainties regarding its financial contribution.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Peloton Interactive Inc

Current Assets 1.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 737.7m
Receivables 141m
Other Current Assets 647.8m
Non-Current Assets 1B
PP&E 897.9m
Intangibles 61.3m
Other Non-Current Assets 83.7m
Current Liabilities 793.3m
Accounts Payable 513.1m
Accrued Liabilities 79.1m
Other Current Liabilities 201.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.3B
Long-Term Debt 1.7B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 593.5m
Efficiency
Fundamental Scores

PTON Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Peloton Interactive Inc's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional ROE
ROE is Increasing
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
32/100
Profitability
Score

Peloton Interactive Inc's profitability score is 32/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

PTON Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Peloton Interactive Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
36/100
Solvency
Score

Peloton Interactive Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

PTON Price Targets Summary
Peloton Interactive Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast PTON stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PTON is 6.021 USD with a low forecast of 3.03 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
3.03 USD
35% Downside
Average
Price Target
6.021 USD
30% Upside
Highest
Price Target
21 USD
352% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

PTON Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

PTON Price
Peloton Interactive Inc

1M 1M
+10%
6M 6M
-29%
1Y 1Y
-63%
3Y 3Y
-96%
5Y 5Y
-84%
10Y 10Y
-84%
Annual Price Range
4.645
52w Low
4.02
52w High
13.88
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 60.13%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 223.56%
Max Drawdown -98%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.7B USD
Shares Outstanding 366 870 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 15.43%

PTON Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

PTON News

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Last Important Events
Peloton Interactive Inc

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Sentiment Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc

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Company Profile

Peloton Interactive Inc Logo
Peloton Interactive Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Leisure Products

Market Cap

1.7B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 6,743 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2019-09-26. The firm provides connected, technology-enabled fitness, and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes to its customers. The firm segments include Connected Fitness Products and Subscription. The Connected Fitness Products segment include the Company’s portfolio of connected fitness products and related accessories, Precor branded fitness products, delivery and installation services, Company’s branded apparel, extended warranty agreements, and commercial service contracts. Its Subscriptions segment provide access to content in its library of live and on-demand fitness classes. The firm products include Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Tread and Tread+. Its accessories include cycling shoes, dumbbells, resistance bands, reversible workout, bike mat, heart rate monitor, yoga blocks, yoga straps, cleats, pedals, bike weights, and among others.

Contact

NEW YORK
New York City
441 Ninth Avenue, Sixth Floor
+19176719198.0
https://www.onepeloton.com/

IPO

2019-09-26

Employees

6 743

Officers

CEO, President & Director
Mr. W. Barry McCarthy Jr.
Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Elizabeth Coddington
Chief Content Officer
Ms. Jennifer Cotter
Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Saqib Baig
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Peter Coleman Stabler
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Tammy Albarran
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Chief Marketing Officer
Ms. Lauren Weinberg
Chief People Officer
Ms. Dalana Brand
Chief Emerging Business Officer
Mr. Dion Camp Sanders
Chief Supply Chain Officer
Mr. Andrew Rendich
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one PTON stock?

The intrinsic value of one PTON stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.549 USD.

Is PTON stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 4.645 USD, Peloton Interactive Inc is Undervalued by 66%.