Peloton Interactive Inc
NASDAQ:PTON
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Peloton Interactive Inc
Intrinsic Value
Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
PTON
stock under the Base Case scenario is
10.99
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.6 USD,
Peloton Interactive Inc
is
Undervalued by 67%.
PTON's market price has consistently been higher than its intrinsic value.This persistent overvaluation suggests the market may be overly optimistic about
PTON or that its price is influenced by factors unrelated to fundamentals.
Peloton Interactive Inc's market capitalization is 1.3B USD.
PTON stock price is 3.6 USD.
PTON stock price (3.6 USD) is 67% less than its Intrinsic Value (10.99 USD).
PTON. Open DCF Valuation
PTON has upside potential of 33% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
PTON's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 1% per year over the next 3 years.
PTON's Revenue has dropped by 5% over the past 12 months.
PTON has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (2B USD) than cash and short-term investments (795m USD).
PTON's long-term liabilties (3B USD) exceed its long-term assets (2B USD).
PTON's Revenue has been falling by 10% per year for the last 3 years.
PTON has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
PTON has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 21%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
PTON's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -11% to 213%.
PTON's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -12% to -38%, and is approaching profitability.
PTON's short-term assets (1B USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (746m USD).
PTON has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
PTON has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
PTON's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 213%.
PTON's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -38%.
PTON has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
PTON has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -50%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
PTON's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to -2.85.
PTON's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -2.51.
PTON doesn't generate enough operating income (-522m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (94m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Peloton Interactive Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
PTON
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Peloton Interactive Inc
| Current Assets | 1.4B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 794.5m |
| Receivables | 101.7m |
| Other Current Assets | 524.8m |
| Non-Current Assets | 987.5m |
| PP&E | 852.4m |
| Intangibles | 58.7m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 76.4m |
| Current Liabilities | 745.5m |
| Accounts Payable | 474.9m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 78.1m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 192.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.7B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 569.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Peloton Interactive Inc
|
Revenue
|
2.7B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.6B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
1.1B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.6B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-521.9m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-241.4m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-763.3m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
PTON Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Peloton Interactive Inc's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Peloton Interactive Inc's profitability score is 34/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PTON Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Peloton Interactive Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Peloton Interactive Inc's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PTON Price Targets Summary
Peloton Interactive Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
PTON
is 4.77 USD
with a low forecast of 2.02 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Ownership
PTON Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
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| 9 Months |
|
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| 12 Months |
|
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Price Appreciation
PTON Price
Peloton Interactive Inc
| Average Annual Return | 60.13% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 223.56% |
| Max Drawdown | -98% |
| Market Capitalization | 1.3B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 352 798 016 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 21.66% |
PTON News
Last Important Events
Peloton Interactive Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc
Company Profile
Peloton Interactive Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Peloton Interactive, Inc. operates an at-home fitness platform for live and on-demand indoor cycling classes. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 6,743 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2019-09-26. The firm provides connected, technology-enabled fitness, and the streaming of immersive, instructor-led boutique classes to its customers. The firm segments include Connected Fitness Products and Subscription. The Connected Fitness Products segment include the Company’s portfolio of connected fitness products and related accessories, Precor branded fitness products, delivery and installation services, Company’s branded apparel, extended warranty agreements, and commercial service contracts. Its Subscriptions segment provide access to content in its library of live and on-demand fitness classes. The firm products include Peloton Bike, Peloton Bike+, Tread and Tread+. Its accessories include cycling shoes, dumbbells, resistance bands, reversible workout, bike mat, heart rate monitor, yoga blocks, yoga straps, cleats, pedals, bike weights, and among others.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
PTON
stock under the Base Case scenario is
10.99
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.6 USD,
Peloton Interactive Inc
is
Undervalued by 67%.
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