Rivian Automotive Inc
NASDAQ:RIVN

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Rivian Automotive Inc Logo
Rivian Automotive Inc
NASDAQ:RIVN
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Price: 13.42 USD -3.52% Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.4B USD
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Intrinsic Value

RIVN's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

The intrinsic value of one RIVN stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.85 USD. Compared to the current market price of 13.42 USD, Rivian Automotive Inc is Undervalued by 44%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

RIVN Intrinsic Value
23.85 USD
Undervaluation 44%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Rivian Automotive Inc

Valuation History Unavailable

Historical valuation for RIVN cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

Valuation In Progress...
Valuation In Progress...
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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Economic Moat
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Bear Theses

Rivian’s aggressive ramp-up plans expose it to acute cost pressures and supply chain disruptions, which could derail production targets and erode the brand’s nascent reputation for reliability.

The company remains heavily dependent on a few major customers like Amazon, making it vulnerable to contract renegotiations or changes in strategic direction by these partners.

Rivian’s focus on adventure-oriented premium pickups and SUVs may limit broader market appeal, leaving it exposed to competition from more established EV players that target mass-market segments.

Bull Theses

Rivian’s strong initial reception for the R1T and R1S suggests significant consumer demand for its premium adventure-focused EV offerings, helping it stand out against mainstream competitors.

Strategic partnerships, particularly with Amazon for delivery vans, provide both a large guaranteed order book and the potential for continued fleet expansion, bolstering Rivian’s revenue visibility.

Rivian’s vertically integrated manufacturing approach and in-house battery development could confer long-term cost efficiencies, positioning the brand to capture more value and scale more effectively than pure assembly-focused competitors.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rivian Automotive Inc

Current Assets 10.4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 7.2B
Receivables 412m
Other Current Assets 2.8B
Non-Current Assets 5.1B
PP&E 4.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 546m
Current Liabilities 2.8B
Accounts Payable 713m
Accrued Liabilities 2.1B
Non-Current Liabilities 6.5B
Long-Term Debt 4.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.1B
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rivian Automotive Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Rivian Automotive Inc

Revenue
5B USD
Cost of Revenue
-5.6B USD
Gross Profit
-595m USD
Operating Expenses
-3.4B USD
Operating Income
-4B USD
Other Expenses
126m USD
Net Income
-3.8B USD
Fundamental Scores

RIVN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Rivian Automotive Inc's profitability score is 23/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
ROIC is Increasing
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
23/100
Profitability
Score

Rivian Automotive Inc's profitability score is 23/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

RIVN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Rivian Automotive Inc's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
41/100
Solvency
Score

Rivian Automotive Inc's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

RIVN Price Targets Summary
Rivian Automotive Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast RIVN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RIVN is 15.21 USD with a low forecast of 7.12 USD and a high forecast of 24.15 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
7.12 USD
47% Downside
Average
Price Target
15.21 USD
13% Upside
Highest
Price Target
24.15 USD
80% Upside
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View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Rivian Automotive Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for RIVN is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Competitive Landscape

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Ownership

RIVN Insider Trading
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one RIVN stock?

The intrinsic value of one RIVN stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.85 USD.

Is RIVN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 13.42 USD, Rivian Automotive Inc is Undervalued by 44%.

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