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Stagwell Inc
NASDAQ:STGW

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Stagwell Inc
NASDAQ:STGW
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Price: 6.22 USD 3.49% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Stagwell, Inc. operates as media and public relations agency. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one STGW stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.47 USD. Compared to the current market price of 6.22 USD, Stagwell Inc is Undervalued by 46%.

Key Points:
STGW Intrinsic Value
Base Case
11.47 USD
Undervaluation 46%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Stagwell Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Stagwell's Growth Amid 2023 Challenges
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Stagwell's Growth Amid 2023 Challenges

Stagwell Inc navigated a challenging 2023 by boosting liquidity, managing costs, and growing market share. Although tech sector restructuring and marketing budget cuts affected the industry, they executed strategic actions including a successful secondary offering and the divestiture of ConcentricLife to Accenture for $245 million, at high multiples, while swiftly replacing lost revenue. Stagwell posted $655 million in Q4 revenue and $2.53 billion for the year, with net revenue of $551 million in Q4 and $2.15 billion annually, marking sequential net revenue growth and a 17% adjusted EBITDA margin. Digital transformation businesses saw a rebound, and the company delivered strong net new business wins, leading to $360 million of adjusted EBITDA for the year. Stagwell targets organic net revenue growth of 5% to 7%, and an 11% to 25% increase in adjusted EBITDA, expecting $400 million to $450 million in 2024, aiming to convert about 50% of EBITDA to free cash flow.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Stagwell Inc

Current Assets 1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 119.7m
Receivables 812.1m
Other Current Assets 93.3m
Non-Current Assets 2.7B
PP&E 332.1m
Intangibles 2.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 92.8m
Current Liabilities 1.4B
Accounts Payable 415m
Accrued Liabilities 590.7m
Other Current Liabilities 368.6m
Non-Current Liabilities 2B
Long-Term Debt 1.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 890.2m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Stagwell Inc

Revenue
2.5B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.6B USD
Gross Profit
906m USD
Operating Expenses
-804.1m USD
Operating Income
101.9m USD
Other Expenses
-101.8m USD
Net Income
134k USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Stagwell Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
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Fundamental Scores

STGW Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Stagwell Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
43/100
Profitability
Score

Stagwell Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

STGW Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Stagwell Inc's solvency score is 20/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
High D/E
Positive Net Debt
20/100
Solvency
Score

Stagwell Inc's solvency score is 20/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

STGW Price Targets Summary
Stagwell Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast STGW stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for STGW is 7.21 USD with a low forecast of 5.56 USD and a high forecast of 9.45 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
5.56 USD
11% Downside
Average
Price Target
7.21 USD
16% Upside
Highest
Price Target
9.45 USD
52% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

STGW Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

STGW Price
Stagwell Inc

1M 1M
+16%
6M 6M
+33%
1Y 1Y
-12%
3Y 3Y
+97%
5Y 5Y
+176%
10Y 10Y
-70%
Annual Price Range
6.22
52w Low
4.02
52w High
8.19
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 59.1%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 130.04%
Max Drawdown -69%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.7B USD
Shares Outstanding 272 280 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 7.14%

STGW Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

STGW News

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Company Profile

Stagwell Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Media

Market Cap

1.7B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Stagwell, Inc. operates as media and public relations agency. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 9,100 full-time employees. The firm delivers creative performance for various brands, connecting creativity with technology. Stagwell consists of creative agencies such as 72 and Sunny, Anomaly, Doner and Forsman & Bodenfors; digital transformation firms, including Code and Theory, YML and Instrument; media agencies include Assembly, ForwardPMX and Gale, and market research firms, which includes Harris Poll and NRG. The firm's agencies also include Allison+Partners, SKDK, Hunter, Multiview, Redscout, Rhythm, Wolfgang, Yamamato, KWY Global, Kenna, Locaria, 6 Degrees, Activista, Trade X Partners, Underground Studious, Unreasonable Studious, WYEComm and Observatory.

Contact

NEW YORK
New York City
One World Trade Center, Floor 65, Floor 65
+16464291837.0
https://stagwellgroup.com/

IPO

1998-10-01

Employees

9 100

Officers

Chairman & CEO
Mr. Mark Jeffrey Penn
President
Mr. Jay R. Leveton
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Frank P. Lanuto
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Ryan Greene
Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Vincenzo DiMaggio
Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer
Mr. Jason F Reid
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Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Merrill Raman
Director of Investor Relations
Ben Allanson
General Counsel
Mr. Peter McElligott
Chief Brand & Communications Officer
Ms. Beth Lester Sidhu
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one STGW stock?

The intrinsic value of one STGW stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.47 USD.

Is STGW stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 6.22 USD, Stagwell Inc is Undervalued by 46%.