Hindalco Industries Ltd
NSE:HINDALCO
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Hindalco Industries Ltd
Intrinsic Value
Hindalco Industries Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of aluminium and copper products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
HINDALCO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
927.22
INR.
Compared to the current market price of 667.75 INR,
Hindalco Industries Ltd
is
Undervalued by 28%.
HINDALCO could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Hindalco Industries Ltd's market capitalization is 1.5T INR.
HINDALCO stock price is 667.75 INR.
HINDALCO stock price (667.75 INR) is 28% less than its Intrinsic Value (927.22 INR).
HINDALCO stock price (667.75 INR) is 40% less than its Relative Value (1 110.17 INR). Open Relative Valuation
HINDALCO has upside potential of 11% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
HINDALCO's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
HINDALCO's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 8% to 7%.
HINDALCO's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 11% to 10%.
HINDALCO has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
HINDALCO's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.45.
HINDALCO's Revenue has dropped by 3% over the past 12 months.
HINDALCO's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 7%.
HINDALCO has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 8%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
HINDALCO's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 8% per year over the next 3 years.
HINDALCO has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 13%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
HINDALCO has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
HINDALCO has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
HINDALCO's short-term assets (823B INR) exceed its short-term liabilties (594B INR).
HINDALCO's Revenue has been growing by 18% per year for the last 3 years.
HINDALCO has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (533B INR) than cash and short-term investments (196B INR).
HINDALCO's long-term assets (2T INR) exceed its long-term liabilties (1T INR).
HINDALCO has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
HINDALCO's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.5.
HINDALCO generates enough operating income (167B INR) to cover interest payments on its debt (39B INR).
Valuation Backtest
Hindalco Industries Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
HINDALCO
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Stable Global Growth; Solid Company Outlook
Earnings Call Summary
Global growth in 2024 is expected to mirror 2023 levels with advanced economies at 1.5% and emerging economies at 4.1%. China's growth is anticipated to cool from 5.2% to 4.6%. Global inflation is projected to decrease from 6.8% to 5.8%. The aluminum industry faced a production surplus, with prices marginally increasing to $2,190 a tonne. Indian demand for aluminum is rising, particularly from the electrical sector. Copper production and consumption have both grown, leading to market surpluses and deficits in different regions. Q4 guidance assures a $525 EBITDA per tonne, even as costs for the Bay Minette project have increased.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hindalco Industries Ltd
| Current Assets | 823.4B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 196B |
| Receivables | 165.5B |
| Other Current Assets | 461.9B |
| Non-Current Assets | 1.5T |
| Long-Term Investments | 159.6B |
| PP&E | 943.4B |
| Intangibles | 322.9B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 69.8B |
| Current Liabilities | 593.5B |
| Accounts Payable | 344.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 11.4B |
| Short-Term Debt | 44.8B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 193B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 664.1B |
| Long-Term Debt | 488.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 175.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Hindalco Industries Ltd
|
Revenue
|
2.2T
INR
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.3T
INR
|
|
Gross Profit
|
821.1B
INR
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-653.7B
INR
|
|
Operating Income
|
167.4B
INR
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-65.8B
INR
|
|
Net Income
|
101.6B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hindalco Industries Ltd
| INR | |
| Free Cash Flow | INR |
HINDALCO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Hindalco Industries Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Hindalco Industries Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HINDALCO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Hindalco Industries Ltd's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Hindalco Industries Ltd's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HINDALCO Price Targets Summary
Hindalco Industries Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
HINDALCO
is 737.99 INR
with a low forecast of 540.35 INR and a high forecast of 892.5 INR.
Click here to dive deeper.
Price Appreciation
HINDALCO Price
Hindalco Industries Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 32.06% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 46.79% |
| Max Drawdown | -60% |
| Market Capitalization | 1.5T INR |
| Shares Outstanding | 2 247 220 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Hindalco Industries Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Hindalco Industries Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of aluminium and copper products. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra and currently employs 20,971 full-time employees. The firm's Novelis segment represents Novelis Inc, a wholly owned foreign subsidiary, engaged in producing and selling aluminum sheet and light gauge products, which operates in North America, South America, Europe and Asia. Its Aluminium segment represents aluminum business of the Company, which includes Utkal Alumina International Limited (UAIL), Hindalco Almex Aluminium Limited (HAAL), Suvas Holdings Limited (SHL) and Minerals and Minerals Limited (M&M). Its Copper segment represents copper business of the Company and Dahej Harbour and Infrastructure Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company that operates a captive Jetty of the Company, and in the business of manufacturing and selling of copper cathode, continuous cast copper rods, sulphuric acid, dap and complexes, gold, silver and other precious metals. Its All Other segment represents other subsidiaries of the Company.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
HINDALCO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
927.22
INR.
Compared to the current market price of 667.75 INR,
Hindalco Industries Ltd
is
Undervalued by 28%.
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