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Arcosa Inc
NYSE:ACA

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Arcosa Inc Logo
Arcosa Inc
NYSE:ACA
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Price: 80.76 USD -1.03% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 19, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Arcosa, Inc. engages in the provision of infrastructure-related products and services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one ACA stock under the Base Case scenario is 64.99 USD. Compared to the current market price of 80.76 USD, Arcosa Inc is Overvalued by 20%.

Key Points:
ACA Intrinsic Value
Base Case
64.99 USD
Overvaluation 20%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Arcosa Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Arcosa Anticipates Growth and Improved Margins for 2024
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Arcosa Anticipates Growth and Improved Margins for 2024

Arcosa reported an impressive 2023 with a favorable outcome in its growth businesses and cyclical industries. Adjusted EBITDA soared by 38% due to a 17% revenue increase and an expansion in EBITDA margin by 220 basis points year-over-year. Notably, the Transportation Products revenue surged 49%, with EBITDA increasing by 67%, owing to volume and price hikes, leading to a 150 basis points margin expansion. They expect to persist in this trajectory with a 2024 revenue projection of $2.59 billion, marking a 12% uptick from 2023, and a forecast adjusted EBITDA of $400 million, 16% above the prior year's, factoring out a one-time $22 million land sale gain. Their adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to climb another 40 basis points to 15.4%. Capital expenditures for the year are anticipated between $175 million to $190 million, with growth CapEx between $55 million to $60 million. The company closed the year with a strong balance sheet, notably characterized by $523 million in accessible liquidity and no pressing debt maturities.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Arcosa Inc

Current Assets 912m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 104.8m
Receivables 357.1m
Other Current Assets 450.1m
Non-Current Assets 2.7B
PP&E 1.4B
Intangibles 1.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 31.5m
Current Liabilities 431.2m
Accounts Payable 272.5m
Accrued Liabilities 117.4m
Other Current Liabilities 41.3m
Non-Current Liabilities 814.7m
Long-Term Debt 561.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 252.8m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Arcosa Inc

Revenue
2.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.9B USD
Gross Profit
443.8m USD
Operating Expenses
-261.1m USD
Operating Income
182.7m USD
Other Expenses
-23.5m USD
Net Income
159.2m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Arcosa Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
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Fundamental Scores

ACA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Arcosa Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROE is Increasing
49/100
Profitability
Score

Arcosa Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ACA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Arcosa Inc's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
High Altman Z-Score
60/100
Solvency
Score

Arcosa Inc's solvency score is 60/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ACA Price Targets Summary
Arcosa Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast ACA stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACA is 96.29 USD with a low forecast of 89.89 USD and a high forecast of 108.15 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
89.89 USD
11% Upside
Average
Price Target
96.29 USD
19% Upside
Highest
Price Target
108.15 USD
34% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

ACA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Shareholder Return

ACA Price
Arcosa Inc

1M 1M
0%
6M 6M
+7%
1Y 1Y
+32%
3Y 3Y
+33%
5Y 5Y
+175%
10Y 10Y
+292%
Annual Price Range
80.76
52w Low
58.24
52w High
85.71
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 18.19%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 25.05%
Max Drawdown -6%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 3.9B USD
Shares Outstanding 48 562 300
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.49%

ACA Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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ACA News

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Company Profile

Arcosa Inc Logo
Arcosa Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Construction

Market Cap

3.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0.25%

Description

Arcosa, Inc. engages in the provision of infrastructure-related products and services. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and currently employs 6,170 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-10-16. The firm's segments include Construction Products, Engineered Structures and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment produces and sells construction aggregates and related products, including natural and recycled aggregates and specialty materials, and manufactures and sells trench shields and shoring products and services. The Engineered Structures segment manufactures and sells engineered structures primarily for infrastructure businesses, including utility structures for electricity transmission and distribution, structural wind towers, traffic structures, and telecommunication structures. The Transportation Products segment manufactures and sells products for the inland waterway and rail transportation industries, including barges, barge-related products, axles, and couplers.

Contact

TEXAS
Dallas
500 N Akard St Ste 400
+19729426500.0
https://www.arcosa.com/

IPO

2018-10-16

Employees

6 170

Officers

Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Gail M. Peck
Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Bryan P. Stevenson
Group President
Mr. Jesse E. Collins Jr.
Principal Accounting Officer & Corporate Controller
Mr. Eric D. Hurst
Senior Vice President of Corporate Administration
Ms. Mary E. Henderson
Director of Investor Relations
Erin Drabek
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Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Suzanne M. Myers
Associate General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mark J. Elmore
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ACA stock?

The intrinsic value of one ACA stock under the Base Case scenario is 64.99 USD.

Is ACA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 80.76 USD, Arcosa Inc is Overvalued by 20%.