Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
NYSE:AGM
Intrinsic Value
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. is a stockholder-owned, federally chartered corporation. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AGM
stock under the Base Case scenario is
645.4
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 190.92 USD,
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
is
Undervalued by 70%.
AGM could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's market capitalization is 2.1B USD.
AGM stock price is 190.92 USD.
AGM stock price (190.92 USD) is 70% less than its Intrinsic Value (645.4 USD).
AGM stock price (190.92 USD) is 52% less than its Relative Value (396.8 USD). Open Relative Valuation
AGM has upside potential of 21% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AGM's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 13% to 13%.
AGM's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 1% to 1%.
AGM's long-term assets (30B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (28B USD).
AGM's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
AGM has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 12%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AGM's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 1%.
AGM has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
AGM's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 94% over the past 12 months.
AGM has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AGM has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 1%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AGM has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AGM's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 40% per year for the last 3 years.
AGM has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AGM has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (20B USD) than cash and short-term investments (889m USD).
AGM's short-term liabilties (8B USD) exceed its short-term assets (1B USD).
AGM's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 13.88.
AGM's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -0.16.
AGM doesn't generate enough operating income (250m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (583m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AGM
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
| Current Assets | 1.4B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 888.7m |
| Receivables | 337m |
| Other Current Assets | 133m |
| Non-Current Assets | 28.2B |
| Long-Term Investments | 28.1B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 29.9m |
| Current Liabilities | 8.3B |
| Accounts Payable | 76.7m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 181.8m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 8.1B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 19.8B |
| Long-Term Debt | 19.6B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 166.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
|
Revenue
|
1.4B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
344.3m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-94.1m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
250.2m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-77.4m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
172.8m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
What is Free Cash Flow?
AGM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AGM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's solvency score is 9/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's solvency score is 9/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AGM Price Targets Summary
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AGM
is 231.54 USD
with a low forecast of 218.16 USD and a high forecast of 252 USD.
Ownership
AGM Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
AGM Price
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
| Average Annual Return | 18.21% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 37.02% |
| Max Drawdown | -50% |
| Market Capitalization | 2.1B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 10 795 011 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.36% |
Company Profile
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. is a stockholder-owned, federally chartered corporation. The company is headquartered in Washington, Washington Dc and currently employs 153 full-time employees. The company operates its secondary market activities across its two lines of business, Agricultural Finance and Rural Infrastructure Finance. Its segments include Farm & Ranch, Corporate AgFinance, Rural Utilities, Renewable Energy, Funding and Investments. Its Farm & Ranch segment includes United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) securities portfolio and farm and ranch loans. Its Corporate AgFinance segment includes loans and AgVantage securities for farming operations, agribusinesses focused on food and fiber processing, and other supply chain production. The Renewable Energy segment includes loans to rural electric solar and wind energy projects. Its Rural Utilities segment includes loans to rural electric generation and transmission cooperatives, distribution cooperatives and telecommunications providers.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AGM
stock under the Base Case scenario is
645.4
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 190.92 USD,
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
is
Undervalued by 70%.
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