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Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
NYSE:AGM

Watchlist Manager
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp Logo
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp
NYSE:AGM
Watchlist
Price: 133.81 USD -1.17%
Updated: Jun 1, 2023
Section:
 

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 1, 2023.

Estimated DCF Value of one AGM stock is 171.64 USD. Compared to the current market price of 133.81 USD, the stock is Undervalued by 22%.

AGM DCF Value
Base Case
171.64 USD
Undervaluation 22%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
171.64
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
Hide
DCF Value: 171.64 USD
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp Competitors:
DCF Valuation
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
B
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corp
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd
W
WAYN
Wayne Savings Bancshares Inc
HIFS
Hingham Institution For Savings
B
BYFC
Broadway Financial Corp
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd
W
WAYN
Wayne Savings Bancshares Inc
R
RBKB
Rhinebeck Bancorp Inc
C
CULL
Cullman Bancorp, Inc.
WD
Walker & Dunlop Inc
PKKW
Parkway Acquisition Corp

Present Value Calculation

The first step in the DCF calculation process is to estimate the company's future free cash flow. Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate. The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow. You can change any model inputs below.

Available Valuation Models
1 valuation model available
Alpha Spread
Updated on Jun 1, 2023
Default Valuation
Create My Valuation Model
Other investors haven't shared any valuation models for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp.
Model Settings
Operating Model
Worst Case Base Case Best Case
Discount Rate
7.84%
Forecast Period
5 Years
Terminal Growth
0%
Discount Rate
7.84%
Terminal Growth
0%
Growth Period
5 Years
Copy as My Model

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

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DCF Model
Currency: USD
Millions
Thousands Millions Billions Trillions

To view the process of deriving the DCF Value of one share from the estimated Present Value, see the DCF Value Calculation block.

DCF Value Calculation

Depending on which type of operating model is chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added.

Capital Structure
From Present Value to DCF Value

Present Value 1.9B USD
Equity Value 1.9B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 10.8M
AGM DCF Value 171.64 USD
Undervalued by 22%

To view the process of calculating the Present Value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp' future free cash flow, see the Present Value Calculation block.

Valuation Analysis

After the valuation process, in order to gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between risk and opportunity, it is useful to study the dynamic of company's valuation under various inputs to the DCF model in use.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
306M 351M
Net Income
134M 149M
FCFE
126M 148M

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Revenue Growth Net Margin Discount Rate

See Also

Summary
AGM intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
AGM stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
AGM stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
AGM price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
AGM stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Similar Stocks
What is the DCF value of one AGM stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one AGM stock is 171.64 USD. Compared to the current market price of 133.81 USD, the stock is Undervalued by 22%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Using the DCF Operating Model we project Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp's future free cash flow and discount it at a selected discount rate to calculate its Present Value (1.9B USD).

2. DCF Value Calculation. We use the company's capital structure to calculate the total Equity Value based on the previously computed Present Value of the free cash flow. Dividing the Equity Value by the number of shares outstanding gives us the DCF Value of 171.64 USD per one AGM share.

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How is DCF value calculated?

Alpha Spread forecasts a company's future cash flow and estimates the appropriate discount rate to calculate the DCF value of a stock.

1. Free cash flow forecasting

You can view the operating model used to estimate free cash flow in the "DCF Operating Model" block. You can change model inputs forecasted by our algorithm (such as revenue growth, margins, etc.) if you are a professional analyst and have your own opinion about them.
Click here to read more about FCF forecasting.

2. Calculating present value

Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate (which you can also change in the DCF settings). The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow.

DCF Operating Model
Capital Structure
3. Calculating the value of equity

Depending on which type of operating model for the company our algorithm has chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added. You can see these and subsequent steps in the block "Capital structure".

4. Calculating the DCF value of one stock

In order to come from the value of equity to the DCF value of one share, we only need divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding.

See Also:
What is DCF valuation? What are valuation scenarios?
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