Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
NYSE:AMBP
Intrinsic Value
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA engages in the business of developing, manufacturing, marketing, and selling metal beverage cans. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AMBP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
6.874
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.965 USD,
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
is
Undervalued by 42%.
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA's market capitalization is 2.4B USD.
AMBP stock price is 3.965 USD.
AMBP stock price (3.965 USD) is 42% less than its Intrinsic Value (6.874 USD).
AMBP stock price (3.965 USD) is 60% less than its Relative Value (9.836 USD). Open Relative Valuation
AMBP has downside potential of 2% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AMBP's long-term assets (6B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (6B USD).
AMBP's Revenue has grown by 3% over the past 12 months.
AMBP's short-term liabilties (2B USD) exceed its short-term assets (2B USD).
AMBP's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 4% per year over the next 3 years.
AMBP has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AMBP has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AMBP's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 3%.
AMBP has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 7%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AMBP's Revenue has been growing by 12% per year for the last 3 years.
AMBP has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
AMBP has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AMBP has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -1%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AMBP's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -27%.
AMBP has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (4B USD) than cash and short-term investments (443m USD).
AMBP's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very high and is equal to 36.4.
AMBP's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -0.41.
AMBP generates enough operating income (182m USD) to cover interest payments on its debt (174m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AMBP
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
| Current Assets | 1.5B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 443m |
| Receivables | 581m |
| Other Current Assets | 481m |
| Non-Current Assets | 4.2B |
| PP&E | 2.6B |
| Intangibles | 1.4B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 154m |
| Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.3B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 14m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 191m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 4B |
| Long-Term Debt | 3.6B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 407m |
Earnings Waterfall
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
|
Revenue
|
4.8B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-4.2B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
566m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-384m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
182m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-256m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
-74m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
AMBP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AMBP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA's solvency score is 16/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA's solvency score is 16/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AMBP Price Targets Summary
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AMBP
is 3.882 USD
with a low forecast of 3.03 USD and a high forecast of 5.25 USD.
Shareholder Return
AMBP Price
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
| Average Annual Return | -16.74% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 22.98% |
| Max Drawdown | -77% |
| Market Capitalization | 2.4B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 597 651 008 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.61% |
Company Profile
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA engages in the business of developing, manufacturing, marketing, and selling metal beverage cans. The company supplies infinitely recyclable, metal beverage cans to brand owners. The firm deals with the multiple categories of products including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters and wine. The firm operates approximately 23 production facilities in the Americas and Europe. The firm is also a suppliers of metal beverage can package solutions, capable of supplying multi-national, national and regional beverage producers. The firm's subsidiaries inlcude Ardagh Metal Packaging Holdings Sarl and Gores Holdings V, Inc.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AMBP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
6.874
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.965 USD,
Ardagh Metal Packaging SA
is
Undervalued by 42%.
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