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Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY

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Hershey Co Logo
Hershey Co
NYSE:HSY
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Price: 193.34 USD -0.34% Market Closed
Updated: Jul 18, 2024
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Intrinsic Value

The Hershey Co. engages in the manufacture and marketing of chocolate, sweets, mints and confectionery products. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one HSY stock under the Base Case scenario is 156.66 USD. Compared to the current market price of 193.34 USD, Hershey Co is Overvalued by 19%.

Key Points:
HSY Intrinsic Value
Base Case
156.66 USD
Overvaluation 19%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Hershey Co

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Fundamental Analysis

Hershey's Strong Q1 Performance and Confident Future Outlook
Earnings Call Summary

Hershey's Strong Q1 Performance and Confident Future Outlook

Hershey reported an 8.9% increase in net sales during the first quarter, driven significantly by inventory buildup ahead of its ERP system transition. The adjusted gross margin stood at 44.9%, with the company maintaining its forecast for a 200 basis point drop for the year. Earnings per share grew by 3.7%, keeping in line with full-year expectations. Despite anticipating high single-digit sales declines in Q2 due to inventory normalization, Hershey remains confident in achieving full-year sales growth of 2-3%. Investment in innovation and marketing, coupled with strong sales growth in Europe and Latin America, will support these targets.

Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hershey Co

Current Assets 3.4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 520.4m
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 1.7B
Non-Current Assets 9B
Long-Term Investments 190.4m
PP&E 3.6B
Intangibles 4.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 247m
Current Liabilities 3.5B
Accounts Payable 946m
Accrued Liabilities 872.5m
Short-Term Debt 1.3B
Other Current Liabilities 380.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.8B
Long-Term Debt 3.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Hershey Co

Revenue
11.4B USD
Cost of Revenue
-6.1B USD
Gross Profit
5.3B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.5B USD
Operating Income
2.8B USD
Other Expenses
-764.7m USD
Net Income
2.1B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hershey Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

HSY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Hershey Co's profitability score is 70/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
70/100
Profitability
Score

Hershey Co's profitability score is 70/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

HSY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Hershey Co's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
High Interest Coverage
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
63/100
Solvency
Score

Hershey Co's solvency score is 63/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

HSY Price Targets Summary
Hershey Co

Wall Street analysts forecast HSY stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HSY is 212.07 USD with a low forecast of 180.79 USD and a high forecast of 250.95 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
180.79 USD
6% Downside
Average
Price Target
212.07 USD
10% Upside
Highest
Price Target
250.95 USD
30% Upside
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Competitive Landscape

Ownership

HSY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Price Appreciation

HSY Price
Hershey Co

1M 1M
+6%
6M 6M
+1%
1Y 1Y
-19%
3Y 3Y
+12%
5Y 5Y
+42%
10Y 10Y
+152%
Annual Price Range
193.34
52w Low
179.52
52w High
246.64
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 13.98%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 14.06%
Max Drawdown -35%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 39.1B USD
Shares Outstanding 202 230 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 2.99%

HSY Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

HSY News

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Last Important Events
Hershey Co

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Hershey Co

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Last 7 Days 7D
Last 30 Days 30D
Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Hershey Co Logo
Hershey Co

Country

United States of America

Industry

Food Products

Market Cap

39.1B USD

Dividend Yield

2.65%

Description

The Hershey Co. engages in the manufacture and marketing of chocolate, sweets, mints and confectionery products. The company is headquartered in Hershey, Pennsylvania and currently employs 16,620 full-time employees. The firm produces snack, chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery. The company operates through two segments: North America and International and Other. Its product offerings include chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products; snack items such as popcorn, protein bars and cookies, spreads, bars and snack bites/mixes, and meat snacks; and pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings and beverages. The firm is also engaged in offering pretzel. North America segment includes its operations in in the United States and Canada. International and Other segment includes its operations outside of North America. The firm offers its products under various brands, such as Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Brookside, barkTHINS, Cadbury, Good & Plenty, Heath, Kit Kat, Lancaster, Payday, Rolo, Twizzlers, Whoppers and York.

Contact

PENNSYLVANIA
Hershey
19 East Chocolate Avenue, External Rptg & Compliance
+17175344200.0
https://www.thehersheycompany.com/

IPO

1927-12-01

Employees

16 620

Officers

Chairman, President & CEO
Ms. Michele Gross Buck
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Steven E. Voskuil
Senior VP & CTO
Mr. Deepak Bhatia
President of U.S. Confection
Mr. Charles R. Raup
President of Salty Snacks
Ms. Kristen J. Riggs
VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Jennifer L. McCalman
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Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Finance
Ms. Melissa Poole
Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. James Turoff
Global Chief Sales Officer
Ms. Marlene Creighton
Chief Transformation Officer & Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Christopher M. Scalia
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one HSY stock?

The intrinsic value of one HSY stock under the Base Case scenario is 156.66 USD.

Is HSY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 193.34 USD, Hershey Co is Overvalued by 19%.