LyondellBasell Industries NV
NYSE:LYB
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LyondellBasell Industries NV
NYSE:LYB
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UK |
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) under the Base Case is 65.82 USD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 62.59 USD, the stock appears
Undervalued by 5% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. Net margin recovers from -2.5% last year to 7.6% by 2031. If net margin stayed at its five-year average of 5.5%, the estimate would be about $55. The value of the years after 2031 is tied to revenue, so margins count only until then.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What LyondellBasell Industries Does
LyondellBasell Industries is a large chemical company that turns oil- and gas-based raw materials into plastics and other industrial chemicals. Its core products are polyethylene, polypropylene, propylene oxide, and related materials used to make packaging, automotive parts, household goods, construction products, and many other everyday items.
- Headquarters
- United Kingdom UK
- Employees
- 18 970
- IPO date
- Apr 28, 2010
LyondellBasell Industries has a narrow economic moat
Low-cost ethane helps LyondellBasell make chemicals and plastics more cheaply in North America, while its protected processes and catalyst know-how support technology sales and some of its own production. These advantages cover only part of the business, and U.S. rivals such as Dow and ExxonMobil also have access to gas-based feedstocks.
Read the full moat analysisLatest Earnings Call
- EPS
- $4.30
- Expected
- $3.56
- Surprise
- +20.8%
- Stock, day of the call
- +2.7%
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
LyondellBasell Industries NV
Earnings Waterfall
LyondellBasell Industries NV
The intrinsic value for LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) under the Base Case is 65.82 USD.
Compared with the current market price of 62.59 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 5% .