Penske Automotive Group Inc
NYSE:PAG
Intrinsic Value
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as an international transportation services company. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
PAG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
197.58
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 147.94 USD,
Penske Automotive Group Inc
is
Undervalued by 25%.
PAG could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Penske Automotive Group Inc's market capitalization is 9.9B USD.
PAG stock price is 147.94 USD.
PAG stock price (147.94 USD) is 25% less than its Intrinsic Value (197.58 USD).
PAG stock price (147.94 USD) is 31% less than its Relative Value (212.93 USD). Open Relative Valuation
PAG has upside potential of 15% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
PAG's short-term assets (6B USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (6B USD).
PAG's Revenue has grown by 6% over the past 12 months.
PAG's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 22% to 24%.
PAG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.1.
PAG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 5% to 7%.
PAG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 7%.
PAG's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 5% per year over the next 3 years.
PAG has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 8%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
PAG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
PAG has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
PAG has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
PAG has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
PAG's long-term assets (16B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (11B USD).
PAG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 24%.
PAG's Revenue has been growing by 13% per year for the last 3 years.
PAG has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 30%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
PAG's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 3.5.
PAG generates enough operating income (1B USD) to cover interest payments on its debt (214m USD).
PAG has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (5B USD) than cash and short-term investments (96m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Penske Automotive Group Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
PAG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Penske Automotive Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Penske Automotive Group Inc
| Current Assets | 5.7B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 96.4m |
| Receivables | 1.1B |
| Other Current Assets | 4.5B |
| Non-Current Assets | 10B |
| Long-Term Investments | 1.8B |
| PP&E | 5.2B |
| Intangibles | 3B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 63.1m |
| Current Liabilities | 5.7B |
| Accounts Payable | 866.9m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 809.8m |
| Short-Term Debt | 3.8B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 209.7m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 5.3B |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.4B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Penske Automotive Group Inc
|
Revenue
|
29.5B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-24.6B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
4.9B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.5B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
1.4B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-339m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
1.1B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Penske Automotive Group Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
PAG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Penske Automotive Group Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Penske Automotive Group Inc's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PAG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Penske Automotive Group Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Penske Automotive Group Inc's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PAG Price Targets Summary
Penske Automotive Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
PAG
is 169.98 USD
with a low forecast of 116.15 USD and a high forecast of 205.8 USD.
Ownership
PAG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
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| 12 Months |
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Shareholder Return
PAG Price
Penske Automotive Group Inc
| Average Annual Return | 32.15% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 36.27% |
| Max Drawdown | -60% |
| Market Capitalization | 9.9B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 67 200 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 13.85% |
Company Profile
Penske Automotive Group Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as an international transportation services company. The company is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan and currently employs 25,000 full-time employees. The firm operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships principally in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, Italy, Japan and North America, and distributes commercial vehicles, diesel engines, gas engines, power systems, and related parts and services in Australia and New Zealand. Its segment includes Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other and Non-Automotive Investments. The Retail Automotive segment consists of retail automotive dealership operations. The Retail Commercial Truck segment is consists of retail commercial truck dealership operations in the U.S. and Canada. Other segment is consists of commercial vehicle and power systems distribution operations. The Non-Automotive Investments segment is consisting of equity method investments in non-automotive operations, including its investment in Penske transportation solutions (PTS) and other various investments.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
PAG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
197.58
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 147.94 USD,
Penske Automotive Group Inc
is
Undervalued by 25%.
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