Procter & Gamble Co
NYSE:PG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one PG stock under the Base Case scenario is 128.53 USD. Compared to the current market price of 171.09 USD, Procter & Gamble Co is Overvalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Procter & Gamble Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Procter & Gamble Co. (P&G) is a globally renowned consumer goods company that has been providing innovative products for over 180 years. Founded in 1837, the Cincinnati-based company has built an impressive portfolio comprising iconic brands such as Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest. P&G has established its reputation on a foundation of quality and trust, emphasizing a relentless commitment to research and development. By anticipating consumer needs and investing in sustainable practices, P&G has consistently adapted to changing market dynamics, resulting in strong brand loyalty and a resilient business model. This adaptability has allowed P&G to maintain a dominant position in the market,...
Procter & Gamble Co. (P&G) is a globally renowned consumer goods company that has been providing innovative products for over 180 years. Founded in 1837, the Cincinnati-based company has built an impressive portfolio comprising iconic brands such as Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest. P&G has established its reputation on a foundation of quality and trust, emphasizing a relentless commitment to research and development. By anticipating consumer needs and investing in sustainable practices, P&G has consistently adapted to changing market dynamics, resulting in strong brand loyalty and a resilient business model. This adaptability has allowed P&G to maintain a dominant position in the market, with its products available in approximately 180 countries worldwide.
For investors, Procter & Gamble represents a compelling opportunity characterized by steady performance and reliable dividends. The company's strong financial health, underscored by robust cash flow generation and a history of dividend increases, highlights its ability to return value to shareholders. Moreover, P&G continually leverages its vast distribution network and strong marketing capabilities to enhance its competitive edge and drive growth. As the company navigates an evolving landscape marked by changing consumer behaviors and preferences, its focus on innovation and sustainability positions it to capture new market opportunities, making it a noteworthy consideration for long-term investment portfolios.
Procter & Gamble Co. (P&G) operates through several core business segments, each categorized primarily by the type of consumer products offered. As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, P&G's core business segments include:
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Beauty: This segment encompasses a range of personal care products, including facial care, skin care, hair care, and deodorants. Notable brands under this segment include Olay, Pantene, Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, and Gillette.
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Grooming: This segment primarily focuses on shaving and grooming products for men. Key brands include Gillette, Venus, and Braun, which cover a mixture of razors, shave prep products, and electric grooming devices.
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Health Care: This segment includes oral care products, over-the-counter medications, and personal health care items. Prominent brands are Crest, Oral-B, and Vicks.
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Fabric & Home Care: This division offers products for laundry care, dishwashing, and home cleaning. Notable brands include Tide, Downy, Febreze, and Dawn.
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Baby, Feminine & Family Care: This segment features products aimed at family and personal hygiene, including diapers, feminine hygiene products, and family tissues. Key brands are Pampers, Always, Bounty, and Charmin.
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Fabric Care: Often considered part of the broader Fabric & Home Care segment, this focuses specifically on laundry products, helping P&G maintain a strong position in the laundry detergent market.
Overall, P&G is known for its strong brand portfolio, commitment to innovation, and significant investment in marketing, enabling it to maintain a leadership position in the consumer goods industry. Each segment contributes to P&G's overall strategy of delivering quality products that meet consumer needs, enhancing brand loyalty and market penetration.
Procter & Gamble Co. (P&G) enjoys several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain its leading position in the consumer goods sector. Here are some key factors:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: P&G possesses a diverse range of well-established brands, including Tide, Pampers, Gillette, and Crest. This brand equity allows P&G to command premium pricing and foster customer loyalty.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest players in the industry, P&G benefits from economies of scale in production, distribution, and marketing. This allows the company to reduce costs and improve profitability compared to smaller competitors.
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Robust Innovation Pipeline: P&G invests heavily in research and development, leading to continual product innovation. This commitment helps P&G stay ahead of market trends and consumer needs, which is crucial for maintaining relevance in a competitive landscape.
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Extensive Distribution Network: P&G has a vast and efficient distribution network that ensures its products are available in a wide range of retail channels. This extensive reach allows P&G to capture market share across various geographies and demographics.
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Consumer Insights and Market Research: P&G leverages advanced consumer insights and data analytics to understand customer preferences and anticipate market changes. This capability enables the company to tailor its products and marketing strategies effectively.
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Sustainability Initiatives: P&G has made significant commitments to sustainability, which resonate with increasingly environmentally-conscious consumers. Its efforts in reducing waste, enhancing product recyclability, and promoting sustainable sourcing can provide a competitive edge over less proactive rivals.
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Strong Financial Position: P&G maintains strong cash flows and a healthy balance sheet, enabling it to invest in marketing, R&D, and strategic acquisitions. This financial strength gives P&G the flexibility to weather economic downturns better than some competitors.
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Global Presence with Local Adaptation: While P&G operates in numerous markets worldwide, it adapts its products and marketing strategies to local preferences. This flexibility enhances customer satisfaction and market penetration.
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Commitment to Quality and Safety: P&G has a longstanding reputation for high-quality products and rigorous safety standards, building consumer trust and loyalty over time. This reputation differentiates its products from those of less reputable brands.
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Experienced Management Team: The company’s leadership has a wealth of experience in the consumer goods sector, allowing for informed strategic decision-making that contributes to sustained competitive advantages.
By leveraging these advantages, Procter & Gamble continues to not only compete effectively but also position itself for long-term success in the ever-evolving consumer goods market.
Procter & Gamble Co (P&G), a leading consumer goods company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Downturns: Economic instability, inflation, and recession fears can reduce consumer spending on non-essential goods, impacting P&G's sales growth.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by events like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, can affect the availability and cost of raw materials and logistics.
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Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in prices for raw materials such as palm oil, petrochemicals, and packaging materials can lead to increased production costs, which may not be fully passed on to consumers.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: P&G needs to continually adapt to shifting consumer trends, such as increased demand for sustainability, natural ingredients, and health and wellness products. Failing to innovate in these areas may lead to loss of market share.
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Competitive Pressure: The consumer goods industry is highly competitive with both established brands and new entrants, including private label brands that can offer similar quality at lower prices.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations regarding product safety, environmental impact, and labor practices could necessitate significant adjustments in operations and product formulation.
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Digital Transformation and E-commerce: The shift toward digital and online sales channels requires ongoing investments in technology and strategies to enhance online presence and consumer engagement.
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Geopolitical Risks: International operations expose P&G to risks related to trade policies, tariffs, and political instability in various regions, impacting profitability and strategic planning.
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Brand Reputation Risks: As a prominent player, P&G is susceptible to reputational damage from issues such as product recalls, social media crises, or failures in corporate social responsibility.
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Sustainability Pressures: Increasing scrutiny from consumers and activists regarding sustainability practices necessitates ongoing investment in environmentally friendly initiatives, which can be costly.
Addressing these risks requires strategic foresight, innovation, and adaptability, consistent with the investment philosophies of Buffett and Munger, who emphasize understanding businesses and their core competencies.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Procter & Gamble Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Procter & Gamble Co
Current Assets | 24.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.5B |
Receivables | 6.1B |
Other Current Assets | 9.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 97.7B |
PP&E | 22.2B |
Intangibles | 62.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 13.2B |
Current Liabilities | 33.6B |
Accounts Payable | 15.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 11.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 38.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 25.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 12.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Procter & Gamble Co
Revenue
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84B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-40.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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43.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-23.2B
USD
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Operating Income
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20.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-5.7B
USD
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Net Income
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14.6B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Procter & Gamble Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Procter & Gamble (P&G) reported a 4% organic sales growth for fiscal '24, despite facing significant market challenges. Core earnings per share rose by 12%, with a gross margin improvement of 360 basis points. North America and Europe showed robust volume growth, offsetting weaker performances in China. The company sees continued volatility but guides for 3-5% organic sales growth and 5-7% core EPS growth for fiscal '25. P&G also highlighted a 7% dividend increase and plans to return $16-17 billion to shareholders, reflecting strong cash flow productivity.
What is Earnings Call?
PG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Procter & Gamble Co's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Procter & Gamble Co's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Procter & Gamble Co's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Procter & Gamble Co's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PG Price Targets Summary
Procter & Gamble Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PG is 180.97 USD with a low forecast of 162.61 USD and a high forecast of 210 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for PG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
PG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Procter & Gamble Co. engages in the provision of branded consumer packaged goods. The company is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio and currently employs 3,000 full-time employees. The firm operates through five segments: Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care, and Baby, Feminine & Family Care. The firm sells its products in countries and territories primarily through mass merchandisers, grocery stores, membership club stores, drug stores, department stores, distributors, wholesalers, baby stores, specialty beauty stores, e-commerce, high-frequency stores, pharmacies, electronics stores and professional channels. The company offers products under the brands, such as Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, Rejoice, Olay, Old Spice, Safeguard, Secret, SK-II, Braun, Gillette, Venus, Crest, Oral-B, Metamucil, Neurobion, Pepto-Bismol, Vicks, Ariel, Downy, Gain, Tide, Cascade, Dawn, Fairy, Febreze, Mr. Clean, Swiffer, Luvs, Pampers, Always, Always Discreet, Tampax, Bounty, Charmin and Puffs.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one PG stock under the Base Case scenario is 128.53 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 171.09 USD, Procter & Gamble Co is Overvalued by 25%.