Packaging Corp of America
NYSE:PKG
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Packaging Corp of America
Intrinsic Value
Packaging Corporation of America engages in the production of container products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
PKG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
141.05
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 199 USD,
Packaging Corp of America
is
Overvalued by 29%.
Packaging Corp of America's market capitalization is 17.9B USD.
PKG stock price is 199 USD.
PKG stock (141.05 USD) is 29% less than its price (199 USD).
PKG stock (164.36 USD) is 17% less than its price (199 USD). Open Relative Valuation
PKG has downside potential of 1% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
PKG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
PKG's Revenue has dropped by 1% over the past 12 months.
PKG has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
PKG's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 19% to 18%.
PKG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 12% to 10%.
PKG's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 4% per year over the next 3 years.
PKG's Revenue has been growing by 4% per year for the last 3 years.
PKG has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (2B USD) than cash and short-term investments (1B USD).
PKG has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
PKG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 18%.
PKG has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 14%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
PKG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
PKG has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
PKG earns more than enough operating income (992m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (85m USD).
PKG's long-term assets (9B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (5B USD).
PKG has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 23%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
PKG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.62.
PKG's short-term assets (3B USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (1B USD).
PKG's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 3.97.
Valuation Backtest
Packaging Corp of America
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
PKG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Packaging Corp of America
| Current Assets | 3.4B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
| Receivables | 1B |
| Other Current Assets | 1.2B |
| Non-Current Assets | 5.4B |
| Long-Term Investments | 68.5m |
| PP&E | 4.1B |
| Intangibles | 1.1B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 67m |
| Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
| Accounts Payable | 449.6m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 416.5m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 534.2m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 3.4B |
| Long-Term Debt | 2.5B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 944.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
Packaging Corp of America
|
Revenue
|
7.9B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-6.3B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
1.6B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-638.8m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
992.1m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-279.1m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
713m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Packaging Corp of America
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
PKG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Packaging Corp of America's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Packaging Corp of America's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
PKG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Packaging Corp of America's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Packaging Corp of America's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
PKG Price Targets Summary
Packaging Corp of America
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
PKG
is 196.8 USD
with a low forecast of 182.81 USD and a high forecast of 225.75 USD.
Click here to dive deeper.
Ownership
PKG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Price Appreciation
PKG Price
Packaging Corp of America
| Average Annual Return | 9.53% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 12.28% |
| Max Drawdown | -32% |
| Market Capitalization | 17.9B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 89 400 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.02% |
Company Profile
Packaging Corp of America
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Packaging Corporation of America engages in the production of container products. The company is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois and currently employs 15,200 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-01-28. The firm's segments include Packaging, Paper, and Corporate and Other. Its Packaging segment produces a variety of containerboard and corrugated packaging products. The Paper segment manufactures and sells a range of communication-based papers. The company operates approximately eight mills and 90 corrugated products plants and related facilities. Its containerboard mills produce linerboard and corrugating medium, which are papers primarily used in the production of corrugated products. Its corrugated products manufacturing plants produce a variety of corrugated packaging products, including conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods, multi-color boxes and displays with visual appeal, and honeycomb protective packaging. In addition, it is also a producer of packaging for meat, fruit and vegetables, and other consumer products.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
PKG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
141.05
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 199 USD,
Packaging Corp of America
is
Overvalued by 29%.
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