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Ternium SA
NYSE:TX

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Ternium SA Logo
Ternium SA
NYSE:TX
Watchlist
Price: 41.62 USD -0.64% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Ternium SA engages in the manufacturing and trade of steel products. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one TX stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.32 USD. Compared to the current market price of 41.62 USD, Ternium SA is Undervalued by 23%.

Key Points:
TX Intrinsic Value
Base Case
54.32 USD
Undervaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Ternium SA

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Fundamental Analysis

Ternium Q4 Performance and Dividend Payout
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Ternium Q4 Performance and Dividend Payout

In Q4 2023, Ternium's adjusted EBITDA fell 7% quarter-over-quarter to $651 million, marked by weaker steel prices but offset by cost reductions. Profitability was impacted by integrating Usiminas operations and the ramp-up of the Ipatinga facility. Despite lower margins, net income and per ADS earnings rose due to noncash gains and foreign exchange benefits. Shipments remained robust in Mexico, contributing to an annual increase of 22%. A dividend of $3.30 per ADS has been proposed, with $2.20 still to be distributed. Ternium anticipates higher CapEx of $1.8 billion for 2024, maintaining a solid cash flow and free cash flow.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ternium SA

Current Assets 12B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 3.8B
Receivables 3.2B
Other Current Assets 5B
Non-Current Assets 12.2B
Long-Term Investments 728m
PP&E 7.6B
Intangibles 996m
Other Non-Current Assets 2.8B
Current Liabilities 3.8B
Accounts Payable 2.2B
Other Current Liabilities 1.6B
Non-Current Liabilities 8B
Long-Term Debt 1.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ternium SA

Revenue
17.6B USD
Cost of Revenue
-14.1B USD
Gross Profit
3.6B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.4B USD
Operating Income
2.2B USD
Other Expenses
-1.5B USD
Net Income
676m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ternium SA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
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Fundamental Scores

TX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ternium SA's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Gross Profit
58/100
Profitability
Score

Ternium SA's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ternium SA's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
Long-Term Solvency
64/100
Solvency
Score

Ternium SA's solvency score is 64/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TX Price Targets Summary
Ternium SA

Wall Street analysts forecast TX stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TX is 50.08 USD with a low forecast of 45.45 USD and a high forecast of 55.65 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
45.45 USD
9% Upside
Average
Price Target
50.08 USD
20% Upside
Highest
Price Target
55.65 USD
34% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Shareholder Return

TX Price
Ternium SA

1M 1M
+3%
6M 6M
+4%
1Y 1Y
+7%
3Y 3Y
+32%
5Y 5Y
+111%
10Y 10Y
+135%
Annual Price Range
41.62
52w Low
35.06
52w High
45.05
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 16.01%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 43.22%
Max Drawdown -64%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 8.2B USD
Shares Outstanding 196 307 678
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.21%

TX Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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TX News

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Company Profile

Ternium SA Logo
Ternium SA

Country

Luxembourg

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

8.2B USD

Dividend Yield

7.88%

Description

Ternium SA engages in the manufacturing and trade of steel products. The firm produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers, steel processors or end users. The firm operates through two segments: Steel and Mining. The Steel segment includes the sales of steel products and the Mining segment includes the sales of iron ore products, which are primarily inter-company. The Steel segment comprises three operating segments: Mexico, the Southern Region and Other Markets. In the steel segment, steel products include slabs, billets and round bars (steel in its basic, semi-finished state), hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plate, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets and pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, roll-formed products, and other products. In the mining segment, iron ore is sold as concentrates (fines) and pellets.

Contact

Luxembourg
26 Boulevard Royal, 4th Floor
+35226683152.0
https://www.ternium.com/

IPO

2006-02-01

Employees

20 142

Officers

Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Maximo Vedoya
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Pablo Daniel Brizzio
Chief Technology Officer
Mr. Carlos Polidori
Investor Relations Director
Sebastián Martí
General Counsel
Mr. Fernando Duelo
Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Rodrigo Pina
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Chief Planning Officer
Mr. Oscar Montero Martinez
Chief Industrial & Engineering Officer
Mr. Pablo Hernán Bassi
Chief Environment, Health & Safety Officer
Ms. Marina Valeria Chiesa
Ternium Argentina President
Mr. Martin A. Berardi
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TX stock?

The intrinsic value of one TX stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.32 USD.

Is TX stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 41.62 USD, Ternium SA is Undervalued by 23%.