China Railway Group Ltd
OTC:CRWOF
Intrinsic Value
China Railway Group Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Construction & Engineering industry. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CRWOF
stock under the Base Case scenario is
2.188
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.509 USD,
China Railway Group Ltd
is
Undervalued by 77%.
China Railway Group Ltd could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
China Railway Group Ltd's market capitalization is 152.6B CNY.
CRWOF stock price is 0.509 USD.
CRWOF stock price (0.509 USD) is 77% less than its Intrinsic Value (2.188 USD).
CRWOF stock price (0.509 USD) is 75% less than its Relative Value (2.047 USD). Open Relative Valuation
CRWOF.
CRWOF has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CRWOF has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 10%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CRWOF's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
CRWOF's short-term liabilties (1T CNY) exceed its short-term assets (1T CNY).
CRWOF's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 4% to 4%.
CRWOF's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 11% to 10%.
CRWOF's Revenue has grown by 9% over the past 12 months.
CRWOF has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (463B CNY) than cash and short-term investments (217B CNY).
CRWOF's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 7% per year over the next 3 years.
CRWOF's long-term assets (2T CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (1T CNY).
CRWOF's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 4%.
CRWOF's Revenue has been growing by 9% per year for the last 3 years.
CRWOF has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CRWOF's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.39.
CRWOF has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CRWOF has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
CRWOF has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 4%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CRWOF's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.93.
Valuation Backtest
China Railway Group Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
CRWOF
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
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Fundamental Analysis
China Railway Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Railway Group Ltd
| Current Assets | 1T |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 217B |
| Receivables | 471.1B |
| Other Current Assets | 317.6B |
| Non-Current Assets | 823.7B |
| Long-Term Investments | 204.6B |
| PP&E | 139.7B |
| Intangibles | 200.3B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 279.2B |
| Current Liabilities | 1T |
| Accounts Payable | 522.6B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 55.4B |
| Short-Term Debt | 138.6B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 294.2B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 486.3B |
| Long-Term Debt | 324.9B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 161.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Railway Group Ltd
|
Revenue
|
1.3T
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.1T
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
127.4B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-77.2B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
50.2B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-18.3B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
31.8B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Railway Group Ltd
CRWOF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Railway Group Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Railway Group Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CRWOF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Railway Group Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Railway Group Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CRWOF Price Targets Summary
China Railway Group Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CRWOF
is 0.696 USD
with a low forecast of 0.53 USD and a high forecast of 0.904 USD.
Shareholder Return
Price
China Railway Group Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -1.89% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 12.06% |
| Max Drawdown | -42% |
| Market Capitalization | 152.6B CNY |
| Shares Outstanding | 21 859 584 200 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
China Railway Group Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Railway Group Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Construction & Engineering industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 294,013 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-12-03. CHINA RAILWAY GROUP LIMITED is a China-based company principally engaged in infrastructure construction business. The firm is also engaged in survey, design and consulting services business, the manufacture of engineering equipment and components, and real estate development. Its infrastructure construction business includes railway construction, highway construction and urban engineering construction. Its survey, design and consulting services business includes the provision of survey, design and consulting services for railway, bridge, road and tunnel projects. The firm conducts its businesses within in China and overseas markets.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
CRWOF
stock under the Base Case scenario is
2.188
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.509 USD,
China Railway Group Ltd
is
Undervalued by 77%.
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