Transurban Group
SWB:TU9
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Transurban Group (TU9) under the Base Case is 10.99 EUR per share.
Compared with the current market price of 9.05 EUR, the stock appears
Undervalued by 18% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using valuation multiples.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Transurban Group Does
Transurban Group builds, owns, and runs toll roads in major cities, mostly in Australia and North America. It collects tolls from drivers using its roads, and it also earns money from services tied to those roads, such as traffic management, road operations, and infrastructure projects. In simple terms, Transurban makes money by charging vehicles for faster, more reliable routes that are hard to replace.
- Headquarters
- Australia AU
- Employees
- 4 100
- IPO date
- Mar 14, 1996
Transurban Group has no economic moat
Drivers can choose alternative roads for each trip rather than commit to using Transurban. Its exclusive road-operating rights protect individual routes, but do not prevent motorists from choosing toll-free alternatives when the time saved is not worth the toll.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
Transurban Group
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What is the Intrinsic Value of one TU9 stock?
The intrinsic value for Transurban Group (TU9) under the Base Case is 10.99 EUR.
Is TU9 stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 9.05 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 18% .
