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Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd
SZSE:002215

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Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd
SZSE:002215
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Price: 7.87 CNY -0.51% Market Closed
Updated: Jun 1, 2023

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 1, 2023.

Estimated DCF Value of one 002215 stock is 6.84 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 7.87 CNY, the stock is Overvalued by 13%.

DCF Value
Base Case
6.84 CNY
Overvaluation 13%
DCF Value
Price
S
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
6.84
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 6.84 CNY
Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd Competitors:
DCF Valuation
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PI Industries Ltd
300387
Hubei Forbon Technology Co Ltd
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Agro-Kanesho Co Ltd
600426
Shandong Hualu-Hengsheng Chemical Co Ltd
COROMANDEL
Coromandel International Ltd

Present Value Calculation

The first step in the DCF calculation process is to estimate the company's future free cash flow. Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate. The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow. You can change any model inputs below.

Available Valuation Models
1 valuation model available
Alpha Spread
Updated on Jun 1, 2023
Default Valuation
Create My Valuation Model
Other investors haven't shared any valuation models for Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd.
Model Settings
Discount Rate
6.47%
Forecast Period
5 Years
Terminal Growth
0%
Discount Rate
6.47%
Terminal Growth
0%
Growth Period
5 Years
Copy as My Model

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

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DCF Model

To view the process of deriving the DCF Value of one share from the estimated Present Value, see the DCF Value Calculation block.

DCF Value Calculation

Depending on which type of operating model is chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added.

Capital Structure
From Present Value to DCF Value

Present Value 6.6B CNY
+ Cash & Equivalents 1.2B CNY
+ Investments 1.7B CNY
Firm Value 9.5B CNY
- Debt 2.7B CNY
- Minority Interest 654M CNY
Equity Value 6.2B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 899M
002215 DCF Value 6.84 CNY
Overvalued by 13%

To view the process of calculating the Present Value of Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd' future free cash flow, see the Present Value Calculation block.

Valuation Analysis

After the valuation process, in order to gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between risk and opportunity, it is useful to study the dynamic of company's valuation under various inputs to the DCF model in use.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
4.9B 6.2B
Operating Income
396M 536M
FCFF
363M 436M

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

See Also

Similar Stocks
What is the DCF value of one 002215 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 002215 stock is 6.84 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 7.87 CNY, the stock is Overvalued by 13%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Using the DCF Operating Model we project Shenzhen Noposion Agrochemicals Co Ltd's future free cash flow and discount it at a selected discount rate to calculate its Present Value (6.6B CNY).

2. DCF Value Calculation. We use the company's capital structure to calculate the total Equity Value based on the previously computed Present Value of the free cash flow. Dividing the Equity Value by the number of shares outstanding gives us the DCF Value of 6.84 CNY per one 002215 share.