Haseko Corp
TSE:1808

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Haseko Corp
TSE:1808
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Price: 2 987 JPY -0.05% Market Closed
Market Cap: 815.6B JPY

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 29, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one 1808 stock is 2 122.13 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 2 987 JPY, the stock is Overvalued by 29%.

DCF Value
Base Case
2 122.13 JPY
Overvaluation 29%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 2 122.13 JPY

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 113.2B JPY. The present value of the terminal value is 542.3B JPY. The total present value equals 655.6B JPY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Model
Year 1

forecasted

Year 2

forecasted

Year 3

forecasted

Year 4

forecasted

Year 5

forecasted

Terminal

forecasted

Operating Income
Revenue1 2771 2901 3291 3621 3851 397
Absolute Value
Growth
Operating Margin7.82%7.86%7.92%7.96%8.00%8.05%
Absolute Value
Operating Income100101105108111112
Net Operating Profit After Taxes
Taxes-25-25-26-27-28-28
Absolute Value
As % of Operating Income
NOPAT757679818384
Free Cash Flow to Firm
Net CapEx-53-52-53-53-52-51
Absolute Value
As % of Revenue
FCFF222426293133
Present Value
Discount Rate4.81%4.81%4.81%4.81%4.81%4.81%
Present Value2121232424542
Revenue
Created with Highcharts 11.4.81 277B1 277B1 290B1 290B1 329B1 329B1 362B1 362B1 385B1 385B1 397B1 397BYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Terminal0250B500B750B1 000B1 250B1 500B
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 655.6B JPY
+ Cash & Equivalents 203.7B JPY
+ Investments 106.5B JPY
Firm Value 965.7B JPY
- Debt 385.2B JPY
- Minority Interest 1.1B JPY
Equity Value 579.4B JPY
/ Shares Outstanding 273m
1808 DCF Value 2 122.13 JPY
Overvalued by 29%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
1.3T 1.4T
Operating Income
99.8B 112.4B
FCFF
21.7B 33B

What is the DCF value of one 1808 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 1808 stock is 2 122.13 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 2 987 JPY, the stock is Overvalued by 29%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Haseko Corp's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 655.6B JPY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 2 122.13 JPY per share.

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