Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
TSX:ATD
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
ATD
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.01
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 79.43 CAD,
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
is
Overvalued by 22%.
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Fundamental Analysis
ATD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Score
ATD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Score
Couche-Tard’s heavy reliance on fuel sales risks becoming a drag on long-term growth as electric vehicle adoption accelerates worldwide, potentially eroding one of its historically significant revenue drivers.
Its aggressive acquisition strategy could stall if regulators continue to reject or scrutinize major deals, as evidenced by the failed Carrefour approach, limiting Couche-Tard’s ability to expand its footprint and capitalize on market consolidation.
Continued declines in tobacco sales and possible future regulation restricting high-margin products may pressure in-store profit growth, challenging the convenience store core of its business model.
Couche-Tard’s track record of efficiently integrating acquisitions and extracting synergies could sustain robust earnings growth, as management has repeatedly shown the ability to bolster margins and return on invested capital post-deal.
Geographic diversification across North America and Europe adds resilience, with its Circle K brand scaling effectively in multiple markets and offsetting localized economic slowdowns.
Strong cash generation and disciplined capital allocation provide significant resources to invest in next-generation store formats, loyalty programs, and fuel alternatives, positioning the company for evolving consumer preferences.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
| USD | |
| Free Cash Flow | USD |
Earnings Waterfall
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
Wall St
Price Targets
ATD Price Targets Summary
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ATD
is 89.79 CAD
with a low forecast of 71.71 CAD and a high forecast of 126.68 CAD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ATD is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
The intrinsic value of one
ATD
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.01
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 79.43 CAD,
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
is
Overvalued by 22%.
