Athabasca Oil Corp
TSX:ATH
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Athabasca Oil Corp (ATH) under the Base Case is 7.44 CAD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 11.65 CAD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 36% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes revenue grows about -5% a year over the next five years, less than a third of its five-year pace of 21%. Net margin ends at 22% by 2033, below its five-year average of 30%.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Athabasca Oil Does
Athabasca Oil Corp is a Canadian oil producer focused on Alberta. It makes money by developing and producing crude oil, mainly from thermal oil sands projects and also from light-oil fields. Its output is not refined products; it sells raw oil into the market for use by refiners and other energy buyers.
- Headquarters
- Canada CA
- Employees
- 187
- IPO date
- Apr 8, 2010
Athabasca Oil has a narrow economic moat
Athabasca Oil Corp has a narrow economic moat, offering limited protection against competitors and some ability to sustain profitability.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Athabasca Oil Corp
Earnings Waterfall
Athabasca Oil Corp
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ATH stock?
The intrinsic value for Athabasca Oil Corp (ATH) under the Base Case is 7.44 CAD.
Is ATH stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 11.65 CAD, the stock appears Overvalued by 36% .
