Athabasca Oil Corp
TSX:ATH
Intrinsic Value
Athabasca Oil Corp. is an exploration and production company, which engages in the development of thermal and light oil assets. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
ATH
stock under the Base Case scenario is
6.113
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 4.995 CAD,
Athabasca Oil Corp
is
Undervalued by 18%.
ATH could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Athabasca Oil Corp's market capitalization is 2.9B CAD.
ATH stock price is 4.995 CAD.
ATH stock price (4.995 CAD) is 18% less than its Intrinsic Value (6.113 CAD).
ATH stock (3.707 CAD) is 26% less than its price (4.995 CAD). Open Relative Valuation
ATH has upside potential of 22% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
ATH's Revenue has dropped by 4% over the past 12 months.
ATH has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
ATH's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 16%.
ATH has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
ATH has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
ATH's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -3%.
ATH has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 20%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
ATH's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -25% to -3%, and is approaching profitability.
ATH's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -8% to 16%.
ATH has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (343m CAD) than debt (185m CAD).
ATH's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 33% per year for the last 3 years.
ATH's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 3.4.
ATH generates enough operating income (202m CAD) to cover interest payments on its debt (27m CAD).
ATH's short-term assets (501m CAD) exceed its short-term liabilties (185m CAD).
ATH has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
ATH has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -8%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
ATH's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.12.
ATH's long-term assets (2B CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (465m CAD).
Valuation Backtest
Athabasca Oil Corp
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
ATH
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Athabasca Oil Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Athabasca Oil Corp
| Current Assets | 500.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 343.3m |
| Receivables | 100.1m |
| Other Current Assets | 57.2m |
| Non-Current Assets | 1.5B |
| PP&E | 1.1B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 439.1m |
| Current Liabilities | 185.1m |
| Accounts Payable | 129.7m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 55.4m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 280.1m |
| Long-Term Debt | 184.9m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 95.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Athabasca Oil Corp
|
Revenue
|
1.2B
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-491.4m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
685.7m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-483.7m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
202m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-253.2m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
-51.2m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Athabasca Oil Corp
ATH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Athabasca Oil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Athabasca Oil Corp's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ATH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Athabasca Oil Corp's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Athabasca Oil Corp's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ATH Price Targets Summary
Athabasca Oil Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ATH
is 6.077 CAD
with a low forecast of 5.555 CAD and a high forecast of 7.088 CAD.
Shareholder Return
ATH Price
Athabasca Oil Corp
| Average Annual Return | 141.22% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 311.47% |
| Max Drawdown | -90% |
| Market Capitalization | 2.9B CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 585 700 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 0.69% |
Company Profile
Athabasca Oil Corp
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Athabasca Oil Corp. is an exploration and production company, which engages in the development of thermal and light oil assets. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. The company went IPO on 2010-04-08. The firm is focused on developing thermal oil and light oil resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta, Canada. Its thermal oil division consists of its cornerstone producing Leismer asset, Hangingstone asset, Corner development asset and the Dover West exploration asset in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The company produces light oil and liquid-rich natural gas from unconventional reservoirs. The firm's development has been focused on the Montney in the Greater Placid area and the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area near the town of Fox Creek, Alberta. In Greater Placid, it has a 70% operated working interest in approximately 90,000 gross Montney acres. In Greater Kaybob, it has a 30% non-operated interest in approximately 205,000 gross acres of commercially prospective Duvernay lands.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
ATH
stock under the Base Case scenario is
6.113
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 4.995 CAD,
Athabasca Oil Corp
is
Undervalued by 18%.
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