Computer Modelling Group Ltd
TSX:CMG
Intrinsic Value
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. is a computer software technology company, which engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation software. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CMG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
7.62
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.42 CAD,
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
is
Overvalued by 27%.
Computer Modelling Group Ltd's market capitalization is 845.9m CAD.
CMG stock price is 10.42 CAD.
CMG stock (7.62 CAD) is 27% less than its price (10.42 CAD).
CMG stock (8.18 CAD) is 21% less than its price (10.42 CAD). Open Relative Valuation
CMG has upside potential of 15% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
CMG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CMG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 27% to 32%.
CMG's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 49% to 43%.
CMG's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 34% over the past 12 months.
CMG's Revenue has been growing by 12% per year for the last 3 years.
CMG has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (45m CAD) than debt (35m CAD).
CMG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 32%.
CMG's long-term assets (150m CAD) exceed its long-term liabilties (87m CAD).
CMG's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 26% per year over the next 3 years.
CMG's short-term assets (82m CAD) exceed its short-term liabilties (46m CAD).
CMG has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
CMG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 43%.
CMG has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CMG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.55.
CMG has very high three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 33%. The company is very efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CMG has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CMG has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 44%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CMG earns more than enough operating income (33m CAD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (2m CAD).
CMG's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 6.6.
Valuation Backtest
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
CMG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
| Current Assets | 81.9m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 45.2m |
| Receivables | 32.1m |
| Other Current Assets | 4.7m |
| Non-Current Assets | 68.2m |
| PP&E | 40.1m |
| Intangibles | 28.1m |
| Current Liabilities | 46.5m |
| Accounts Payable | 13.3m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 33.1m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 40.6m |
| Long-Term Debt | 35m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 5.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
|
Revenue
|
96.7m
CAD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-31m
CAD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
65.6m
CAD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-33m
CAD
|
|
Operating Income
|
32.6m
CAD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-8.4m
CAD
|
|
Net Income
|
24.3m
CAD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
CMG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Computer Modelling Group Ltd's profitability score is 77/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Computer Modelling Group Ltd's profitability score is 77/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CMG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Computer Modelling Group Ltd's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Computer Modelling Group Ltd's solvency score is 77/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CMG Price Targets Summary
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CMG
is 11.93 CAD
with a low forecast of 11.11 CAD and a high forecast of 13.13 CAD.
Shareholder Return
CMG Price
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 8.48% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 37.97% |
| Max Drawdown | -60% |
| Market Capitalization | 845.9m CAD |
| Shares Outstanding | 81 235 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.28% |
Company Profile
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Computer Modelling Group Ltd. is a computer software technology company, which engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation software. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta and currently employs 178 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation software. The firm is a supplier of process reservoir modelling software, with a customer base of international oil companies and technology centers in approximately 60 countries. Its technology has built into its software products that can be directly applied to the energy transition needs of its customers. Its reservoir simulation software includes CMOST-AI, IMEX, GEM, STARS, CoFlow, Builder, Results and WinProp. The firm also provides professional services consisting of specialized support, consulting, training, and contract research activities. The firm has sales and technical support services based in Calgary, Houston, London, Dubai, Bogota and Kuala Lumpur.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
CMG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
7.62
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.42 CAD,
Computer Modelling Group Ltd
is
Overvalued by 27%.
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