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Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV

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Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV
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Price: 307.46 CAD -5.77% Market Closed
Market Cap: CA$59.3B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one FNV stock under the Base Case scenario is 107.31 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 307.46 CAD, Franco-Nevada Corp is Overvalued by 65%.

FNV Intrinsic Value
107.31 CAD
Overvaluation 65%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Franco-Nevada Corp

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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

Franco-Nevada derives a sizable portion of its revenue from a handful of core assets, including the Cobre Panama mine, leaving the company vulnerable to operational disruptions or geopolitical shifts at these key projects.

Aggressive competition from new entrants in the streaming and royalty space may force Franco-Nevada to pay higher prices for new deals, eroding the firm’s historical edge in securing lucrative arrangements.

A prolonged downturn or volatility in gold prices would directly impact royalty income, and while Franco-Nevada has diversified into other commodities, its financial performance remains highly sensitive to precious metals demand.

Bull Theses

Franco-Nevada’s asset-light royalty and streaming model provides consistent cash flows without the high costs and risks of operating mines, enabling strong margins and a steady dividend.

The company’s well-diversified portfolio spans multiple metals and energy streams, substantially lowering revenue concentration risk while offering exposure to broader commodity upside.

Management’s disciplined approach to capital allocation and deal-making historically has led to superior returns, with a track record of avoiding overpaying for assets and steadily growing shareholder distributions.

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Earnings Waterfall
Franco-Nevada Corp

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Price Targets

FNV Price Targets Summary
Franco-Nevada Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast FNV stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FNV is 319.24 CAD with a low forecast of 124.5 CAD and a high forecast of 483 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
124.5 CAD
60% Downside
Average
Price Target
319.24 CAD
4% Upside
Highest
Price Target
483 CAD
57% Upside
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Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one FNV stock?

The intrinsic value of one FNV stock under the Base Case scenario is 107.31 CAD.

Is FNV stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 307.46 CAD, Franco-Nevada Corp is Overvalued by 65%.

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