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FirstService Corp
TSX:FSV

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FirstService Corp
TSX:FSV
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Price: 216.27 CAD -0.52%
Market Cap: CA$9.9B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one FSV stock under the Base Case scenario is 254.37 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 216.27 CAD, FirstService Corp is Undervalued by 15%.

FSV Intrinsic Value
254.37 CAD
Undervaluation 15%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

A potentially prolonged slowdown in the U.S. residential and commercial real estate markets could reduce demand for FirstService’s property management and related services, pressuring both revenue and margins as fewer new contracts come online and client turnover rises.

Rising labor costs and persistent staffing challenges, particularly in property maintenance and restoration segments, could squeeze profitability and prevent the company from maintaining its historical margin profile.

An aggressive acquisition strategy to expand service lines sports integration risks and may lead to overvaluation of targets, leaving the firm vulnerable to unexpected capital expenditures or goodwill write-downs if deals underperform.

Bull Theses

FirstService’s extensive property management footprint, especially through FirstService Residential, provides a reliable stream of recurring fees, offering visibility into cash flow and cushioning against economic swings.

Its diversified services portfolio – including restoration, painting, and brand-related offerings – presents clear cross-selling opportunities, enhancing client lifetime value and contributing to organic growth.

A robust balance sheet and prudent capital structure enable it to fund strategic tuck-in acquisitions or technology investments that further cement its leadership and expand its presence in high-margin niches such as HOA management.

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Earnings Waterfall
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Price Targets

FSV Price Targets Summary
FirstService Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast FSV stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FSV is 210.69 CAD with a low forecast of 191.25 CAD and a high forecast of 225.75 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
191.25 CAD
12% Downside
Average
Price Target
210.69 CAD
3% Downside
Highest
Price Target
225.75 CAD
4% Upside
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Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

What is the Intrinsic Value of one FSV stock?

The intrinsic value of one FSV stock under the Base Case scenario is 254.37 CAD.

Is FSV stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 216.27 CAD, FirstService Corp is Undervalued by 15%.

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