Lundin Gold Inc
TSX:LUG
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Lundin Gold Inc
TSX:LUG
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CA |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Lundin Gold Inc (LUG) under the Base Case is 79.32 CAD per share.
Compared with the current market price of 82.2 CAD, the stock appears
Overvalued by 4% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes revenue grows about 29% in 2026, then slows: about 9% a year on average over the next five years, less than a third of its five-year pace of 38%. Net margin ends at 43% by 2033, close to last year's 44%.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Lundin Gold Does
Lundin Gold is a gold mining company. It owns and runs the Fruta del Norte mine in Ecuador, where it extracts ore, processes it on site, and sells the gold it produces. Its business is straightforward: find and mine gold-bearing rock, turn it into gold products, and sell those products into the global gold market.
- Headquarters
- Canada CA
- Employees
- 197
- IPO date
- Aug 20, 2001
Lundin Gold has a wide economic moat
Exclusive legal rights to Fruta del Norte keep other miners from working the same unusually rich deposit, and its rich ore helps Lundin Gold produce gold at lower cost than many rival operations. Together, these advantages help the company earn profits while competing in the global gold market.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Lundin Gold Inc
Earnings Waterfall
Lundin Gold Inc
The intrinsic value for Lundin Gold Inc (LUG) under the Base Case is 79.32 CAD.
Compared with the current market price of 82.2 CAD, the stock appears Overvalued by 4% .