Lundin Mining Corp
TSX:LUN

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Lundin Mining Corp
TSX:LUN
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Price: 32.98 CAD -0.12%
Market Cap: CA$28.2B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one LUN stock under the Base Case scenario is 14.36 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 32.98 CAD, Lundin Mining Corp is Overvalued by 56%.

LUN Intrinsic Value
14.36 CAD
Overvaluation 56%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Lundin Mining Corp

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Fundamental Analysis

Bear Theses

A heavy reliance on its flagship Candelaria mine in Chile leaves Lundin Mining exposed to operational disruptions and local regulatory uncertainties, particularly around environmental permits and shifting taxation policies.

The company’s aggressive capital expenditure plans to expand its copper and zinc production could strain its balance sheet if commodity prices falter, potentially leading to higher debt and tighter margins.

Lundin Mining’s geographic diversification into multiple jurisdictions, including high-risk Latin American regions, raises the probability of unforeseen political, legal, or social conflicts that could delay project timelines or inflate costs.

Bull Theses

Lundin Mining’s strong focus on copper, which is essential for electrification and renewable energy infrastructure, positions the company to benefit from long-term structural demand growth in green technologies.

Its track record of acquiring and integrating targeted exploration and development projects, such as the Chapada mine, has bolstered production capacity and diversified the company’s revenue base without excessively diluting shareholders.

A disciplined balance sheet, underpinned by relatively low net debt levels and well-timed asset divestitures, provides Lundin Mining with ample financial flexibility to capitalize on future M&A opportunities and navigate commodity price cycles.

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Earnings Waterfall
Lundin Mining Corp

Wall St
Price Targets

LUN Price Targets Summary
Lundin Mining Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast LUN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LUN is 34.01 CAD with a low forecast of 21.21 CAD and a high forecast of 44.1 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
21.21 CAD
36% Downside
Average
Price Target
34.01 CAD
3% Upside
Highest
Price Target
44.1 CAD
34% Upside
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Dividends

Shareholder Yield

Competitive Landscape

What is the Intrinsic Value of one LUN stock?

The intrinsic value of one LUN stock under the Base Case scenario is 14.36 CAD.

Is LUN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 32.98 CAD, Lundin Mining Corp is Overvalued by 56%.

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