Lundin Mining Corp
TSX:LUN
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
LUN
stock under the Base Case scenario is
14.36
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 32.98 CAD,
Lundin Mining Corp
is
Overvalued by 56%.
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Fundamental Analysis
A heavy reliance on its flagship Candelaria mine in Chile leaves Lundin Mining exposed to operational disruptions and local regulatory uncertainties, particularly around environmental permits and shifting taxation policies.
The company’s aggressive capital expenditure plans to expand its copper and zinc production could strain its balance sheet if commodity prices falter, potentially leading to higher debt and tighter margins.
Lundin Mining’s geographic diversification into multiple jurisdictions, including high-risk Latin American regions, raises the probability of unforeseen political, legal, or social conflicts that could delay project timelines or inflate costs.
Lundin Mining’s strong focus on copper, which is essential for electrification and renewable energy infrastructure, positions the company to benefit from long-term structural demand growth in green technologies.
Its track record of acquiring and integrating targeted exploration and development projects, such as the Chapada mine, has bolstered production capacity and diversified the company’s revenue base without excessively diluting shareholders.
A disciplined balance sheet, underpinned by relatively low net debt levels and well-timed asset divestitures, provides Lundin Mining with ample financial flexibility to capitalize on future M&A opportunities and navigate commodity price cycles.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Lundin Mining Corp
Earnings Waterfall
Lundin Mining Corp
Wall St
Price Targets
LUN Price Targets Summary
Lundin Mining Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
LUN
is 34.01 CAD
with a low forecast of 21.21 CAD and a high forecast of 44.1 CAD.
The intrinsic value of one
LUN
stock under the Base Case scenario is
14.36
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 32.98 CAD,
Lundin Mining Corp
is
Overvalued by 56%.