Nutrien Ltd
TSX:NTR
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
NTR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
77.48
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 97.07 CAD,
Nutrien Ltd
is
Overvalued by 20%.
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Fundamental Analysis
A prolonged slump in fertilizer prices—particularly if potash markets remain weak—could significantly impact Nutrien’s short-term profit margins and hinder financial flexibility for capital expansion projects.
Nutrien’s acquisitive strategy raises concerns around the successful integration of diverse retail operations, which could lead to unexpected costs and potential goodwill impairments if synergies fail to materialize.
Growing consumer preference for sustainable and organic farming practices could reduce reliance on traditional fertilizers, challenging Nutrien’s core business model if the shift accelerates faster than anticipated.
Global population growth and shrinking arable land should continue fueling strong demand for fertilizer, and Nutrien’s global reach and vertically integrated operations position it to capture outsized market share.
Nutrien’s extensive retail network and ability to offer a full suite of crop inputs create cross-selling opportunities, supporting higher margins and helping shield the company against commodity price volatility.
Industry consolidation in potash and other fertilizer segments may enhance Nutrien’s pricing power, given its status as a leading global producer, thus improving profits and sustaining returns to shareholders.
Earnings Waterfall
Nutrien Ltd
Wall St
Price Targets
NTR Price Targets Summary
Nutrien Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
NTR
is 69.65 CAD
with a low forecast of 55.55 CAD and a high forecast of 86.17 CAD.
The intrinsic value of one
NTR
stock under the Base Case scenario is
77.48
CAD.
Compared to the current market price of 97.07 CAD,
Nutrien Ltd
is
Overvalued by 20%.
