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Transcontinental Inc
TSX:TCL.A

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Transcontinental Inc Logo
Transcontinental Inc
TSX:TCL.A
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Price: 14.71 CAD -0.27% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Transcontinental, Inc. engages in the provision of print and digital media, flexible packaging, and publishing services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one TCL.A stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.42 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 14.71 CAD, Transcontinental Inc is Undervalued by 58%.

Key Points:
TCL.A Intrinsic Value
Base Case
35.42 CAD
Undervaluation 58%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Transcontinental Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Company Weathers Volume Dip with Cost Efficiency
2023-Q3 Earnings Call

Company Weathers Volume Dip with Cost Efficiency

This year, despite lower volumes, the company upheld adjusted EBITDA levels through cost reductions, with packaging profitability expected to improve and print EBITDA to drop slightly due to inflation. Long-term growth is pursued through market share gains and aligned investments. Over 90% of packaging's resilience stems from food products, despite inflation worries in grocery pricing impacting future purchases. Nevertheless, margins are on a positive trend compared to the last fiscal year.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Transcontinental Inc

Current Assets 947.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 51.5m
Receivables 492.7m
Other Current Assets 402.9m
Non-Current Assets 2.5B
PP&E 867.9m
Intangibles 1.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 56.3m
Current Liabilities 437.5m
Accounts Payable 366.3m
Other Current Liabilities 71.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.2B
Long-Term Debt 944.4m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 214.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Transcontinental Inc

Revenue
2.9B CAD
Cost of Revenue
-1.6B CAD
Gross Profit
1.4B CAD
Operating Expenses
-1.1B CAD
Operating Income
229.6m CAD
Other Expenses
-130.9m CAD
Net Income
98.7m CAD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Transcontinental Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Fundamental Scores

TCL.A Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Transcontinental Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROIC is Increasing
50/100
Profitability
Score

Transcontinental Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TCL.A Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Transcontinental Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
44/100
Solvency
Score

Transcontinental Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TCL.A Price Targets Summary
Transcontinental Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast TCL.A stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TCL.A is 18.36 CAD with a low forecast of 14.14 CAD and a high forecast of 22.58 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
14.14 CAD
4% Downside
Average
Price Target
18.36 CAD
25% Upside
Highest
Price Target
22.58 CAD
53% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Shareholder Return

TCL.A Price
Transcontinental Inc

1M 1M
+3%
6M 6M
+29%
1Y 1Y
+10%
3Y 3Y
-26%
5Y 5Y
+9%
10Y 10Y
+41%
Annual Price Range
14.71
52w Low
10.21
52w High
15.1
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 4.41%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 22.91%
Max Drawdown -57%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.3B CAD
Shares Outstanding 86 624 170
Percentage of Shares Shorted 3.31%

TCL.A Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

Company Profile

Transcontinental Inc Logo
Transcontinental Inc

Country

Canada

Industry

Packaging

Market Cap

1.3B CAD

Dividend Yield

6.11%

Description

Transcontinental, Inc. engages in the provision of print and digital media, flexible packaging, and publishing services. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Quebec and currently employs 8,000 full-time employees. The Company’s segments include Packaging, Printing and Media. The Packaging Sector, which specializes in extrusion, lamination, printing and converting packaging solutions, generates revenues from the manufacturing and recycling of flexible plastic and paper products, including rollstock, bags and pouches, coextruded films, shrink films and bags and advanced coatings. The Printing Sector provides integrated service to retailers, including premedia services, flyer and in-store marketing products printing, and door-to-door distribution, as well as print solutions for newspapers, magazines, 4-colour books and personalized and mass-marketing products. The Media sector offers print and digital publishing products, in French and English, including educational books and specialized publications for professionals.

Contact

QUEBEC
MONTREAL
1 Ville-Marie Pl Bureau 3240
+15149544000.0
https://tctranscontinental.com/

IPO

1992-05-22

Employees

8 000

Officers

Executive Chair of the Board
Ms. Isabelle Marcoux B.A., CM, LL.B.
President & CEO
Mr. Thomas Gaston-Louis Morin
Founder Emeritus & Director
Mr. Remi Marcoux CM, F.C.A., FCPA, O.Q.
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Donald LeCavalier
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Christine Desaulniers
Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Lynda B. Newcomb
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Senior Vice President of Operational Excellence
Mr. Dustin Dyer
Chief Information Officer
Mr. Benoit Guilbault
Director of Investor Relations & Treasury
Yan Lapointe
Vice President of Corporate Communications & Public Affairs
Mr. Francois Taschereau
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TCL.A stock?

The intrinsic value of one TCL.A stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.42 CAD.

Is TCL.A stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 14.71 CAD, Transcontinental Inc is Undervalued by 58%.