Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
XETRA:HDD
Intrinsic Value
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG engages in the development, production, and distribution of technology for commercial and packaging printing. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
HDD
stock under the Base Case scenario is
5.579
EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 0.886 EUR,
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
is
Undervalued by 84%.
HDD could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG's market capitalization is 269.6m EUR.
HDD stock price is 0.886 EUR.
HDD stock price (0.886 EUR) is 84% less than its Intrinsic Value (5.579 EUR).
HDD stock price (0.886 EUR) is 76% less than its Relative Value (3.692 EUR). Open Relative Valuation
HDD has upside potential of 98% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
HDD's Revenue has grown by 2% over the past 12 months.
HDD's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 7% to 6%.
HDD's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 1% per year over the next 3 years.
HDD's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 6%.
HDD has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
HDD's Revenue has been growing by 8% per year for the last 3 years.
HDD's long-term assets (2B EUR) exceed its long-term liabilties (2B EUR).
HDD's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 19%.
HDD has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
HDD's short-term assets (1B EUR) exceed its short-term liabilties (882m EUR).
HDD has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 16%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
HDD has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
HDD's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -28% to 19%.
HDD's Altman Z-Score is equal to 1.9.
HDD has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -5%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
HDD has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
HDD's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.05.
HDD has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (127m EUR) than debt (24m EUR).
Valuation Backtest
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
HDD
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
| Current Assets | 1.2B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 127m |
| Receivables | 292m |
| Other Current Assets | 820m |
| Non-Current Assets | 1B |
| Long-Term Investments | 21m |
| PP&E | 657m |
| Intangibles | 215m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 110m |
| Current Liabilities | 882m |
| Accounts Payable | 220m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 662m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 872m |
| Long-Term Debt | 24m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 848m |
Earnings Waterfall
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
|
Revenue
|
3.5B
EUR
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.6B
EUR
|
|
Gross Profit
|
2B
EUR
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.8B
EUR
|
|
Operating Income
|
168m
EUR
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-77m
EUR
|
|
Net Income
|
91m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
HDD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HDD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HDD Price Targets Summary
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
HDD
is 1.754 EUR
with a low forecast of 1.313 EUR and a high forecast of 2.31 EUR.
Shareholder Return
HDD Price
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
| Average Annual Return | 37.16% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 146.64% |
| Max Drawdown | -72% |
| Market Capitalization | 273.9m EUR |
| Shares Outstanding | 304 336 334 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG engages in the development, production, and distribution of technology for commercial and packaging printing. The company is headquartered in Heidelberg, Baden-Wuerttemberg and currently employs 10,538 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2008-02-25. The company has three segments: Heidelberg Equipment, comprising new machinery business; Heidelberg Services, entailing services, consumables, spare parts and remarketed equipment business, and Heidelberg Financial Services, including sales financing businesses. Within the business segments the Company is divided into three business areas: the Sheetfed Business Area, containing finishing machinery for packaging printing in addition to sheetfed offset printing presses for small, medium and large format classes; the Consumables and Computer-to-plate (CTP) business area, where it bundles consumables and prepress equipment, and the Service and Service Parts business area, that supplies service parts to customers in addition to printing press maintenance. The company is also engaged in the manufacture of printing inks via its subsidiary, Blueprint Products NV.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
HDD
stock under the Base Case scenario is
5.579
EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 0.886 EUR,
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
is
Undervalued by 84%.
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