Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd
XTSX:GSVR

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Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd Logo
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd
XTSX:GSVR
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Price: 0.355 CAD 1.43%
Market Cap: 195.6m CAD

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 24, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one GSVR stock is 0.407 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 0.355 CAD, the stock is Undervalued by 13%.

GSVR DCF Value
Base Case
0.407 CAD
Undervaluation 13%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 0.407 CAD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 61.3m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 99.6m USD. The total present value equals 160.9m USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Model
Year 1

forecasted

Year 2

forecasted

Year 3

forecasted

Year 4

forecasted

Year 5

forecasted

Terminal

forecasted

Operating Income
Revenue96 25396 455108 502118 669126 086130 032
Absolute Value
Growth
Operating Margin13.67%18.86%18.90%18.91%18.93%18.95%
Absolute Value
Operating Income13 15518 19120 50422 44523 86724 635
Net Operating Profit After Taxes
Taxes-764-1 626-2 475-3 412-4 375-5 287
Absolute Value
As % of Operating Income
NOPAT12 39116 56518 03019 03319 49219 348
Free Cash Flow to Firm
FCFF12 39116 56518 03019 03319 49219 348
Present Value
Discount Rate11.35%11.35%11.35%11.35%11.35%11.35%
Present Value11 12813 36013 05912 38111 38799 583
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 160.9m USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 2.9m USD
+ Investments 56.2k USD
Firm Value 163.8m USD
- Debt 4.6m USD
Equity Value 159.2m USD
/ Shares Outstanding 551.1m
Value per Share 0.289 USD
USD / CAD Exchange Rate 1.4099
GSVR DCF Value 0.407 CAD
Undervalued by 13%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
96.3m 130m
Operating Income
13.2m 24.6m
FCFF
12.4m 19.3m

What is the DCF value of one GSVR stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one GSVR stock is 0.407 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 0.355 CAD, the stock is Undervalued by 13%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 160.9m USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 0.407 CAD per share.

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