` Comparison: AGL, NG - Alpha Spread

AGL
vs
NG

Over the past 12 months, AGL has underperformed NG, delivering a return of -20% compared to the NG's +9% growth.

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AGL
NG
One-click summary across all key metrics.
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One-click summary across all key metrics.
Ranked results with clear takeaways.
No spreadsheets, no guesswork.
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
We need a little more time to summarize the results

Valuation Comparison

AGL Intrinsic Value
18.53 AUD
Undervaluation 52%
Intrinsic Value
Price
NG Intrinsic Value
1 236.26 GBX
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
AGL Energy Ltd
ASX:AGL
8.88 AUD
National Grid PLC
LSE:NG
1 033 GBX
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
AGL, NG

Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
AGL Energy Ltd
Revenue
National Grid PLC
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
AGL, NG

Free Cash Flow
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
AGL Energy Ltd
ASX:AGL
National Grid PLC
LSE:NG
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

AGL
27.7%
NG
83.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

Operating Margin

AGL
9.9%
NG
28.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

Net Margin

AGL
1.6%
NG
15.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

FCF Margin

AGL
5.3%
NG
-14.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

ROE

AGL
4.3%
NG
8.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

ROA

AGL
1.6%
NG
2.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

ROIC

AGL
7.8%
NG
4.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

ROCE

AGL
13%
NG
5.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AGL Energy Ltd
National Grid PLC

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
AGL, NG

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Performance Gap
AGL, NG

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AGL
NG
Difference
www.alphaspread.com

Performance By Year
AGL, NG

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