` Comparison: VEA vs PKN - Alpha Spread

VEA
vs
PKN

Over the past 12 months, VEA has underperformed PKN, delivering a return of -3% compared to the PKN's +83% growth.

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VEA
PKN
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Valuation Comparison

VEA Intrinsic Value
6.485 AUD
Undervaluation 73%
Intrinsic Value
Price
PKN Intrinsic Value
84.71 PLN
Overvaluation 26%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Viva Energy Group Ltd
ASX:VEA
1.735 AUD
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
WSE:PKN
114.88 PLN
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Valuation Scenario:
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Base Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
VEA, PKN

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PKN
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Viva Energy Group Ltd
Revenue
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
VEA, PKN

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PKN
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Viva Energy Group Ltd
ASX:VEA
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen SA
WSE:PKN
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

VEA
10.2%
PKN
17.4%

Operating Margin

VEA
-0.1%
PKN
9.9%

Net Margin

VEA
-1.1%
PKN
4.2%

FCF Margin

VEA
0%
PKN
6.5%

ROE

VEA
-18.4%
PKN
7.5%

ROA

VEA
-2.8%
PKN
4.2%

ROIC

VEA
-0.2%
PKN
8.2%

ROCE

VEA
-0.3%
PKN
12.9%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
VEA, PKN

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Performance Gap
VEA, PKN

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VEA
PKN
Difference
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Performance By Year
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett