Comparison: YPFD vs 2223 - Alpha Spread

` Comparison: YPFD vs 2223 - Alpha Spread

Over the past 12 months, YPFD has significantly outperformed Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC, delivering a return of +31% compared to the Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC's 0% growth.

Valuation Growth Profitability Solvency Stocks Performance

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YPFD

2223

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Valuation Comparison

Y

YPFD Intrinsic Value

S

Intrinsic Value

Overvaluation 16%

Intrinsic Value

Price

Company		Last Price	Intrinsic Value	DCF Value	Relative Value	Wall St Target
Y	YPF SA BCBA:YPFD	56 500 ARS
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC SAU:2223	129.6 SAR

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Valuation Scenario:

Bear Case

Base Case

Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Revenue Operating Income Net Income EPS

YPFD

2223

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Company		LTM	Historical Growth			Growth Streak	% Positive Years	Max Drawdown	Volatility	Forecasted Growth
Company		LTM	3 Years	5 Years	10 Years	Growth Streak	% Positive Years	Max Drawdown	Volatility	1 Year	3 Years
Y	YPF SA Revenue
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

YPFD

2223

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Company		LTM	Average		Historical Growth			FCF Margin	Conversion
Company		LTM	3 Years	5 Years	3 Years	5 Years	10 Years	FCF Margin	Conversion
Y	YPF SA BCBA:YPFD
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC SAU:2223

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What is Free Cash Flow?

YPFD

25.3%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

14.3%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

9.8%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

10.9%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

-6%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

10.4%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

1.4%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

12.6%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

-7.4%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

22.5%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

-2.8%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

12.2%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

16.2%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

18.3%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

YPFD

6.3%

Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

17.8%

		LTM	3Y Avg	5Y Avg	10Y Avg
Y	YPF SA
S	Saudi Aramco Base Oil Company JSC

Solvency Comparison

Assets

Liabilities

Equity

What is Equity Waterfall?

Assets

Liabilities

Equity

What is Equity Waterfall?

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	Y YPFD	S 2223

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Stocks Performance

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YPFD

2223

1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

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YPFD

2223

Difference

1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 15Y 20Y

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YPFD

2223

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