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NYSE:CVX
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CVX stock under the Base Case scenario is 177.27 USD. Compared to the current market price of 158.72 USD, Chevron Corp is Undervalued by 10%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Chevron Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Chevron Corporation is a global leader in the energy sector, primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and refining of oil and natural gas. Founded in 1879, the company has grown into one of the largest integrated energy firms in the world, operating across more than 180 countries. Chevron's upstream operations focus on locating and extracting oil and gas, while its downstream operations encompass refining these resources into gasoline, jet fuel, and other petrochemical products. The company has a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, investing significantly in renewable energy solutions, including solar and biofuels, as part of its strategy to navigate the ongoing tran...
Chevron Corporation is a global leader in the energy sector, primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and refining of oil and natural gas. Founded in 1879, the company has grown into one of the largest integrated energy firms in the world, operating across more than 180 countries. Chevron's upstream operations focus on locating and extracting oil and gas, while its downstream operations encompass refining these resources into gasoline, jet fuel, and other petrochemical products. The company has a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, investing significantly in renewable energy solutions, including solar and biofuels, as part of its strategy to navigate the ongoing transition toward cleaner energy sources.
For investors, Chevron represents a blend of robust financial performance and strategic resilience. The company has maintained a solid dividend policy, often regarded as a hallmark of stability in the oil and gas sector, which appeals to income-focused investors. Chevron's disciplined approach to capital allocation, combined with its diverse portfolio of assets—from shale oil operations in the United States to offshore developments in West Africa—positions it favorably in a volatile market. As the world grapples with the dual challenges of energy demand and climate change, Chevron's ongoing investments in technology and its commitment to lowering emissions exemplify its proactive efforts to remain a key player in the evolving energy landscape.
Chevron Corporation operates through various core business segments that are integral to its overall strategy and operations in the energy sector. Here are the main segments:
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Upstream: This segment includes the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. Chevron engages in activities such as drilling, extraction, and initial processing of crude oil and natural gas. Key areas of focus include offshore and onshore oil fields, as well as unconventional resources like shale and tight oil.
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Downstream: This segment encompasses the refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Chevron operates refineries, gas stations, and other facilities to convert crude oil into marketable products such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and lubricants. The downstream segment also includes the sale and distribution of chemicals and other related products.
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Chemicals: Chevron's chemicals segment involves the production and marketing of various chemical products, including base chemicals and intermediates such as ethylene and polyethylene. This segment leverages Chevron’s existing resources and technology to produce chemicals that serve multiple industries, enhancing its product diversification.
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Renewable Energy and Emerging Technologies: Chevron has been increasingly focusing on renewable energy solutions and technologies aimed at reducing carbon emissions. This includes investments in biofuels, hydrogen, and renewable energy projects. The company is also exploring innovations in carbon capture and storage (CCS) to improve sustainability across its operations.
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Midstream: While this segment may not be as prominently featured as the upstream and downstream segments, Chevron is involved in midstream operations, including the transportation and storage of oil and natural gas. This includes pipelines, tankers, and terminal facilities that facilitate the movement of crude and refined products from production sites to market.
Each of these segments plays a crucial role in Chevron’s strategy to optimize resource use, enhance profitability, and adapt to changing energy market dynamics while focusing on sustainability and reducing environmental impact.
Chevron Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the oil and gas industry:
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Diverse Asset Portfolio: Chevron has a well-diversified portfolio of upstream (exploration and production), midstream (transportation and storage), and downstream (refining and marketing) operations. This diversification mitigates risks associated with price volatility in crude oil and natural gas.
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Strong Global Presence: Chevron operates in multiple countries across different continents, which allows it to tap into various markets and reduce dependence on any single geographic area. This global reach enables Chevron to capitalize on growth opportunities in emerging markets.
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Technological Innovation: Chevron invests heavily in technology and research to enhance its exploration and production capabilities. Innovations such as advanced drilling techniques and enhanced oil recovery methods improve efficiency and reduce costs, giving Chevron an edge over competitors.
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Robust Financial Position: Chevron often maintains a strong balance sheet with robust cash flow. This financial strength provides the company with the ability to withstand market downturns and fund capital expenditures without excessive reliance on debt.
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Sustainable Practices: Chevron is increasingly focusing on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions, including investment in renewable energy technologies and initiatives to lower its overall carbon footprint. This commitment to sustainability can enhance its reputation and align with investors’ growing preference for environmentally responsible companies.
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Experienced Management Team: The leadership at Chevron has extensive industry experience and a strong track record in managing operations across a wide range of market conditions. Effective governance and strategic planning contribute to the company's resilience and adaptability.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: Chevron often engages in partnerships and joint ventures, which allow it to share risk, leverage additional expertise, and gain access to new technologies and markets.
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Integrated Operations: The company benefits from its integrated operations, allowing it to optimize processes from exploration to distribution. This integration enhances operational efficiency and cost management, giving Chevron a competitive advantage in pricing.
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Strong Brand Reputation: Chevron has built a strong brand reputation for reliability and quality over many years. This trust can help in attracting customers and retaining talent.
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Regulatory Compliance and Safety Standards: Chevron's commitment to high safety and environmental standards helps mitigate regulatory risks and enhances operational sustainability, which is increasingly important in today’s climate-focused world.
These competitive advantages allow Chevron to maintain its position as one of the leading players in the global energy market, leveraging its strengths to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities effectively.
Chevron Corp, like many companies in the oil and gas sector, faces a variety of risks and challenges that can impact its operations and financial performance. Here are some key considerations for the near future:
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Commodity Price Volatility: Fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices can significantly affect revenues. Price declines can stem from oversupply, geopolitical tensions, or shifts in demand due to economic conditions.
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Regulatory Changes: Increasing regulatory scrutiny surrounding environmental issues can pose challenges. The rising push for sustainability and emissions reductions can result in stricter regulations that may require significant capital investment.
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Climate Change and Transition Risks: As the world moves towards cleaner energy sources, Chevron may face pressure to evolve its business model. This necessitates investments in renewable energy, which can be capital-intensive and risky.
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Geopolitical Risks: Global operations expose Chevron to geopolitical instability, especially in regions with significant oil reserves. This can lead to disruptions in production or supply chains.
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Technological Disruption: Advances in alternative energy technologies could threaten traditional fossil fuel markets. Chevron needs to stay ahead of these developments to maintain its competitive edge.
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Operational Challenges: Challenges related to exploration and production, such as logistical issues, labor disputes, or natural disasters, can impact operational efficiency and safety.
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Financial Markets and Investment Sentiment: Investor sentiment is increasingly leaning towards sustainability. Companies heavily invested in fossil fuels may face divestment from ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) focused investors.
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Public Perception and Social License to Operate: Growing public scrutiny of fossil fuel companies can lead to reputational risks. Maintaining a positive public image and community relations is essential for ongoing operations.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Economic disruptions, such as those caused by pandemics or global supply chain issues, can affect the availability and cost of materials and services necessary for operations.
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Cybersecurity Threats: Increased digitalization in operations exposes Chevron to cybersecurity threats. A successful cyberattack could disrupt operations and result in significant financial losses.
Mitigating these risks will require Chevron to adopt a proactive and adaptive strategy, focusing on sustainability, innovation, and strategic partnerships to navigate the complexities of the energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Chevron Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chevron Corp
Current Assets | 38.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.7B |
Receivables | 19.6B |
Other Current Assets | 13.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 221B |
Long-Term Investments | 47.5B |
PP&E | 147.9B |
Intangibles | 4.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 21B |
Current Liabilities | 35.7B |
Accounts Payable | 20B |
Accrued Liabilities | 8.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 67.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 20.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 46.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Chevron Corp
Revenue
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194B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-117.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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76.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-55.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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20.7B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-4.1B
USD
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Net Income
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16.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chevron Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Chevron reported third quarter earnings of $4.5 billion, with share repurchases hitting a record $4.7 billion. The company anticipates a full-year average production growth of 4% to 7% and plans to achieve $2-3 billion in cost reductions by 2026. Strategic asset sales are expected to generate approximately $8 billion in proceeds before taxes. Production at their Permian assets remains strong, outperforming expectations, while they are preparing for growth in Gulf of Mexico production to 300,000 barrels per day by 2026. Chevron maintains a strong balance sheet with a net debt ratio below 12%, positioning itself for consistent shareholder returns through commodity cycles.
What is Earnings Call?
CVX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Chevron Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Chevron Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CVX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Chevron Corp's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Chevron Corp's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CVX Price Targets Summary
Chevron Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVX is 172.38 USD with a low forecast of 146.45 USD and a high forecast of 201.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CVX is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. The company is headquartered in San Ramon, California and currently employs 42,595 full-time employees. The firm operates through two business segments: Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment consists primarily of exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas; processing, liquefaction, transportation and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by international oil export pipelines; transporting, storage and marketing of natural gas, and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment consists primarily of refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil, refined products and lubricants; manufacturing and marketing of renewable fuels; transporting of crude oil and refined products, and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals.
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The intrinsic value of one CVX stock under the Base Case scenario is 177.27 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 158.72 USD, Chevron Corp is Undervalued by 10%.